http://www.concordmonitor.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050406/REPOSITORY/504060322/1001/NEWS01Lawmakers yesterday were told that if the new strain of avian flu spread to New Hampshire, under the worst scenario, it could infect hundreds of thousands of residents and cause as many as 2,000 deaths.
"This is not a prediction of what will happen," state medical director William Kassler told the Senate Health and Human Services Committee. "We would be irresponsible if we did not plan for the worst case, even though we don't expect that to happen," he said.
About 200 people die annually from conventional flu in New Hampshire.
For now, avian flu cases have been confined to Southeast Asia, where 48 people have died after catching the disease from infected birds.
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http://www.thewmurchannel.com/health/4348988/detail.html
Lawmakers Briefed On Potential For Bird Flu Epidemic
Deadly Virus Currently Contained To Southeast Asia
CONCORD, N.H. -- New Hampshire has joined forces with other states and the world community to try to prevent a potentially deadly epidemic.
Avian flu has been restricted to Southeast Asia, but experts warned state lawmakers Tuesday that if it spread to other parts of the globe, it could be catastrophic. The worst-case scenario of an epidemic would be 852,000 people infected in the state and 2,000 deaths. snip
Nationally, 40,000 Americans die from a normal flu season. Experts said an avian flu epidemic could kill 200,000 across the country.
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Everyone see that? Here it is again: The worst-case scenario of an epidemic would be 852,000 people infected in the state and 2,000 deaths. So how does 852,000 people infected with 2000 deaths in New Hampshire equate to a 70%+ death rate as some have been suggesting lately? It doesn't. Its not even close to a one percent death rate. And that is the worst case scenario.