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mountebank Donating Member (755 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:20 PM
Original message
MSNBC: Exit polls to be delayed in future elections
News organizations say early release misled voters
The Associated Press
Updated: 4:13 p.m. ET Nov. 18, 2004

NEW YORK - The consortium of news organizations that runs the election exit polls has voted to delay distributing data for several hours on future election days.

Exit poll data will not be distributed until after 4 p.m. ET to the organizations that have paid for it: ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox News Channel and The Associated Press, NBC’s elections director, Sheldon Gawiser, said Thursday.

snip

“There were an awful lot of people on the Internet talking about things they don’t understand,”’ said Gawiser, head of the news organizations’ steering committee. “First-wave exit poll data is not terribly accurate.”

Those first numbers reflect only interviews with people who have voted in the morning. By delaying release of numbers until between 4 p.m. and 6 p.m., pollsters will have talked to more people and, it is presumed, have a more accurate snapshot of the electorate, he said.

snip

It was the third straight major election in which problems cropped up with exit poll data. Edison/Mitofsky was hired for this election after a previous organization failed to deliver usable exit poll information on Election Day 2002 and provided information that resulted in the television networks’ blowing calls on the election in 2000.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6523649/

Once again, the myth of the bad exit polls in 2000. Why does no on mention the 16,000 votes in Volusia Co. that flipped to Bush and then flopped to Gore? That's a rhetorical question, btw.
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Chico Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:23 PM
Response to Original message
1. We need independant exit pollers
This must be part of the plan.?
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mulethree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:40 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. Cartel?
These giant news organizations band together and agree on one exit poll? 6+ huge news organizations and only one source? So they created a cartel monopoly?

The data is all donated by citizens leaving the polls, but then it becomes private property and nobody gets to see any of the data except for cooked and adjusted aggregates? They don't even disclose the recipe used for the cooking?





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d_b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
2. Bulllllllllllllshiiiiiiiiiiiit
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petepillow Donating Member (590 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:26 PM
Response to Original message
3. yeah yeah yeah
instead of fixing one tiny aspect of the election procedure, results reporting, counting, etc. each year, how's about a SWEEPING OVERHAUL. at the rate they're going, they'll have it all up-to-date for 2004--- in 2056! this ain't repairing college football and the BCS, people! this is repairing the process by which we choose the MOST POWERFUL AND IMPORTANT GOVERNING BODY IN THE ENTIRE WORLD! AAAAAAAGGGHGHGHGHGHGHG!

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Magical Donating Member (336 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
4. Hey Sheldon...
“There were an awful lot of people on the Internet talking about things they don’t understand,”’ said Gawiser

Don't Understand, eh ?

I've got 25 years experience designing embedded hardware and software and I PERFECTLY WELL UNDERSTAND that electronic vote counting is insecure, prone to corruption, easily hacked without a trace, etc.

Now listen up, expert.
Until our election system is guaranteed honest, this is not a Democracy, that QUAINT fucking notion we're supposed to be spreading in Iraq.

And no matter how hard you spin it, it ain't going away.
This is CORRUPT. GOT IT. EXPERT ?

WE WANT VOTER VERIFIED VOTING !!!
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Triana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
5. all the better to hide the fraud in, m'dear...(n/t)
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DeadManInc Donating Member (844 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
6. MSNBC
I smell BULLSHIT!!!!!
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musette_sf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:38 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Ya can't spell MSNBC without BS
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KeepItReal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:28 PM
Response to Reply #9
28. Except when Countdown With Keith is on....
<EOM>
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rooboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:36 PM
Response to Original message
7. Gee, exit polling became really difficult from 2000 onwards... n/t
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recovering democrat Donating Member (365 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
8. Inconsistent - note Olbermann quote
In Bloggerman, he writes: Oh and by the way: how come the “Kerry’s winning” part of the election night exit polling is presumed to have been wrong, or tampered with, but the “Moral Values” part of the same polling is graded flawless, and marks the dawn of a new American century?

Another perspective on the myth of the bad exit polls.
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GoldenOldie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:40 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. If people don't understand it then why do they report it??????
Something is really wrong here. They report exit polls that are not correct and then blame those that attempt to research and analyze that very same data????

This is the same type of reporting that they have been do doing for the past 4-years or more.

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UpInArms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #12
15. since 1986 and a decision rendered by none other than
Robert Bork (yes, the Bork of "being Borked") - under RayGun we lost the Fairness Doctrine

http://www.fair.org/extra/9411/fcc-smoking.html

excerpt:

The Bork-Scalia Decision

The Fairness Doctrine has two components. First, and most importantly, it affirmatively requires that each broadcast licensee carry some coverage of controversial issues of public importance. This ensures that every broadcaster meets its duty to inform the electorate on public issues.

The better-known second prong of the doctrine requires reasonable balance in the coverage of these issues in a station's overall programming. The station has broad discretion on how to provide balanced coverage -- be it through news, talkshow discussions, guest editorials or other programming.

For many years, the Fairness Doctrine was successfully employed by energy, environmental, health and other organizations to obtain reply time in ballot issue cases. The Fairness Doctrine often helped to ensure that voters had the information they needed to make informed decisions at the ballot box. Since most people get their news and public affairs information from the broadcast media, the doctrine gave underfunded parties a fighting chance against a media blitz from well-heeled interests.

In 1987, the FCC stopped enforcing most applications of the doctrine, relying on a 1985 decision in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. The decision, put forth by judges Robert Bork and Antonin Scalia, treated enforcement of the Fairness Doctrine as a matter of FCC discretion, rather than as something legally mandated by Congress. This position departed sharply from 25 years of Fairness Doctrine implementation. It also set the stage for the FCC's decision in 1992 to stop enforcing the doctrine on ballot issues.

...please go to link for embedded links...
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musette_sf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
10. "MSNBC: Exit polls to be delayed in future elections"
They will henceforth be conducted on Inauguration Day.

:wtf:
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MaineYooper Donating Member (555 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
13. following appropriate massaging
so that they reproduce the "counts" (wink,wink) more accurately.
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:52 PM
Response to Original message
14. "Good Germans" will wait until they're told what they think!
Sieg Heil!
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mountebank Donating Member (755 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
16. MSNBC is all over the place re: exit polls
From this article to Olbermann to THIS hit-piece written by some unqualified hack:

Full of Holes (Newsweek/MSNBC)

Commentators depended on the exit polls to predict the winner, but the polls got it wrong (again). Can they be trusted in future elections?

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6408569/site/newsweek /

(discussion here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=103&topic_id=83058)

How did the 2000 debacle get pinned on the exit polls anyway. Anyone have good resources showing that the exit polls didn't have it wrong in 2000???
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Tace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
17. There's A Dynamic Evident Here That Is Fascinating
The major corporate owned US media outlets band together to control exit polling and to withhold the results of the polling from the public, citing the internet.

It is clear that the power of these media outlets to control public perception is being undermined by non-corporate internet information sources.

As a journalist with a degree in mass communications (Journalism major, Broadcasting minor), I find this to be fascinating and proof that we need independent exit polling of future elections. This is a BIG deal.
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Helga Scow Stern Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #17
29. It is a HUGE deal! What can we do?
Would you make a post on it? In the Election Results Forum?
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:03 PM
Response to Original message
18. Consortium? No. Cartel. These guys are a legal mafia. (nt)
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dweller Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:07 PM
Response to Original message
19. oh boy..heheh...is this gonna backfire. N/T
dp
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lthuedk Donating Member (551 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:12 PM
Response to Original message
20. They need to wait for confirmation of the fix from the likes of Rove.
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KT2000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:24 PM
Response to Original message
21. one for the repubs
didn't they call for an end to exit polls a few days ago?
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GetTheRightVote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. Can you take much more of this or what ??

Now they are going to rig the exit polls as well and in this shift to the right they ulimate the one tool that was truest, the exit polls, I smell a rat, a repub rat, yuke.
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GetTheRightVote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:34 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. Not just the Media

but now the exit polls are owned by the repub in their rightous movement to elimate what remains of their opponents chances of a fair election.
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Justathought Donating Member (42 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 08:59 PM
Response to Original message
24. This smells like
what dictatorial societies propagate. Don't give any information to the public other than information that praises the dictator. :spank:
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glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:07 PM
Response to Original message
25. Future elections? Cute.
Just rubbing our noses in it now aren't they?
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Nordic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:17 PM
Response to Original message
26. hm, they've been inaccurate in 2000, 2002 and 2004?
gee, I see a pattern here
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peacetalksforall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
27. Bull, bull, bull....listen NBC - we don't care what you say or plan
Edited on Thu Nov-18-04 09:29 PM by higher class
because your exit poll data will be insignifacant when others take on polling in competition with you. Independent citizens polling is inevitable. We don't have to have RPNs (Republican Corporate Networks) working for the right wing dictate anything to us.

The people are wising up. You are on your way out. Soon you will understand - the people are not going to care what you say....you did it to yourself. Plus, we need you to pay the taxpayers back for misusing our airwaves.

You're voice is getting weak, weaker, and is gasping.

You thought your right wing operations were transparent to us - no more...never more...nothing more. Bye!

Citizens for their own polls!
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astroboy Donating Member (46 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
30. NEWSFLASH: Bush WINS the ELECTRICAL VOTE AGAIN!
who needs EXIT POLLS anyways... oh, yeah, to measure the MORAL INDIGNATION :crazy:
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carolinalady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 09:39 PM
Response to Original message
31. From everything I have heard--the Bushies did not understand it
either. They thought they were losing.
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bloom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-18-04 11:31 PM
Response to Original message
32. who needs 'em - next time all the bloggers can fund their own exit poll
together - and post it online.

Heck - DU could probably come up with enough donations for that purpose.

Ha!

No one would even have a reason to watch the news. :bounce:
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ally_sc Donating Member (238 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 12:14 AM
Response to Original message
33. who decides these policies?
It is another attempt to control things. My God it is not the Miss Universe pagent.
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ThoughtCriminal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 12:28 AM
Response to Original message
34. Independent Exit Polls only way to save Democracy
Non-partisan and DESIGNED to detect fraud. Get the ball rolling on this and watch the desperate measures to cripple or prevent it.
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daleo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 02:08 AM
Response to Original message
35. The White House is accusing the Ukraine govt of electoral fraud
Because of the variance between exit polls and final results.
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JusticeForAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 02:33 AM
Response to Original message
36. Spare me any more lies about this stupid corrupt election. n/t


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pig. Donating Member (48 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 03:23 AM
Response to Original message
37. And WHY did the totals change after end reporting
as mentioned in the paper by Steven Freeman at U Penn
THE UNEPLAINED EXIT POLL DISCREPANCY.

http://www.buzzflash.com/alerts/04/11/The_unexplained_exit_poll_discrepancy_v00k.pdf

he had final data at 130am on the third and later it was different...

hmmmm
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Carolab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 05:44 AM
Response to Original message
38. Snort
"By delaying release of numbers until between 4 p.m. and 6 p.m., pollsters will have talked to more people and, it is presumed, have a more accurate snapshot of the electorate, he said."

AFTER ROVE changes them, that is!
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dbt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-19-04 07:05 AM
Response to Original message
39. Woomp! There it is!
The Media Borg MUST move quickly to kill exit polling, and this piece from MSNBC shows--between the lines--the desperation that's blowing through the network "newsrooms" these days.

With the Internet breathing down their scaly necks, the Whore Nets have GOT to discredit any vestige of truth. Trouble is, they're about to drown in vestiges, thanks to the Internet!

:argh:
dbt
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