Reply #87: Scare tactic? [View All]

[alwynsw]

I have no idea to what you are referring. I simply extrapolated (off the top of my head) based upon the numbers from 17/18 for both mortality and world population and today. I first used the 17/18 actual mortality rate, then the mortality rate of the current illness being discussed.

Since when is it a scare tactic to use hard numbers from a known event and use them based upon current population.

Quite frankly, I'm more optomistic than that. I believe that there will most certainly be a large number of deaths if/when this thing mutates into a virus that is more easily transmitted human to human, but I also believe that because of the great advances in medical knowledge and ability in the last 85 years that a vaccine will be found.

I have no way of knowing what the actual mortality numbers may eventually be, but I can be certain that they will be far greater if the medical research community ignores the issue until the virus makes the jump.

Try to think of it in the same way you think of insurance. You don't but it planning for a loss. You buy it in case of a future loss.