McCain has a Lincoln Chafee problem, and why he's going to lose [View All]

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In 2006, under normal circusmtances, Republican Lincoln Chafee would have kept his senate seat. Chafee wasn't particularly loathed by his constituents in Rhode Island. On the contrary, he was well-liked and respected. He had high favorables too.

But what did him in was the political headwind he ran into. 2006 was a change election, just like 2008 is going to be. And Democrats would rather have a full-blooded progressive than have a quasi, pretentious one on their side.


This is exactly what John McCain faces in 2008 just like Chafee did in 2006 - a Republican base that doesn't trust him, and a Democratic base which wants a Democratic president so bad that even though some Democrats may like McCain on a personal level, they are going to pull the Democratic lever in the voting booth.