Reply #47: This is idiotic [View All]

[NewJerseyDem]

Nobody knows how the election will go.

Basically, you are saying that Kerry isn't electable. But, it is hard to tell if this has such a massive impact on senate elections. There is ticket splitting which is fairly common.

In South Carolina, there are 5 republican candidate and the primary will be bloody.

In Georgia, we lost the seat already. It doesn't matter who is the nominee.

In Louisiana, it hasn't had a republican senator since Reconstruction and has been going well for democrats recently. Increasing black population is moving the state towards the left. Democratic State Treasurer John Kennedy is also running.

In South Dakota, any partisan distaste for democrats will take down Daschle. Those that will vote for him aren't going to care who the party's nominee is because they don't see him in a partisan way. Kerry won't affect outcome.

In Alaska, Knowles is leading by 4 points when there is a green in the race. This is after Kerry became the frontrunner and that hasn't changed anything yet. Alaska is heavily republican and is going to dislike any of the potential nominees.

Illinois is heavily democratic and Kerry will carry it almost certainly. There is no reason why Kerry would affect the outcome

You provide no argument for why Kerry will hurt them other than that the races are in the south and I guess Kerry being from the North will hurt democrats. But, Alaska isn't in the south so why would Clark or Edwards help there?