Reply #11: Kerry has a big lead in Michigan (37 percent) [View All]

[Nicholas_J]

According to polls done a few days ago. Edward, and Dean are at 14 %, Clark at 10 percent.

And polls in Washington state done locally have him with a good lead in the Washington Caucuses on Saturday.

He is a good deal ahead of both Edwards and Clark who are both at 17 percent in Virginia, while Kerry is at 32 percent.

In Tennessee, Kerry is at 31 percent, with Clark at 22.

I didnt think much of Kerry's win in New Hampshire, becasue it was on his home ground. I think Kerry just receivedas large a percentage of the S.C. vote as he received in N.H, his own ground.

When I watch any campaign, I dont look to see how well a candidate does where you expect them to do well. But look to see how they do against their competition in areas that are not home turf to either of them.

That is really the only gauge on how well a cnadidate wil do during the nomination process. But it iseven a better indicator of how well they can do against an incumbent during the geeral election. Kerry did massively better in the midwest, and even in the south-west, than he did in New Hampshire, again his own ground. That is a very big indication to which candidate stands a better chance against Bush than winning on ones own home ground. Whoever runs against Bush is going to have to beat him not in the south, or in the west, ot in the east, or in the North, but all over. THe wins over Kerry in the South were not by large enough numbers tocause Kerry problems in the South. But his wins in the other campaigns today were significant enough for these wins to cause the Bush machine some serious concerns today.