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Reply #13: What is hard to argue about, though... [View All]

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
regnaD kciN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 02:32 AM
Response to Reply #1
13. What is hard to argue about, though...
Edited on Fri Nov-05-04 02:33 AM by JDWalley
...is that, for all states shown above except Illinois, and whether paper ballots or e-voting (with or without paper trails) were used, Kerry's actual results were lower than his exit poll results. Sometimes by a percent or two, sometimes by a lot more.

I'm not saying that the Republicans didn't steal Florida and Ohio. But the very fact that, in 8 out of 9 races, there was a drop in Kerry's numbers from the exit poll to the final result (and in 0 of the 9 did it go up) tells me that it isn't simply a matter of electronic voting machines without paper trails. Maybe all of the systems, electronic or print, were gamed for Bush. Maybe the polling methodology was flawed, and inadvertantly created a pro-Democratic bias of a few percent. (The fact that the turnout was evenly split between the two parties, while previous elections had shown a 3% advantage to Democrats, might explain some of the latter.) But it isn't a simple matter of "the vote matched the polls everywhere except in e-vote states without paper trails," no matter how much people may try to write it off as such.

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