Bitter? Obama's class problem. What would Obama do in the GE with a diminished affluent base? [View All]

[jackson_dem]

Vote by Income

The first number is for Clinton, the second for Obama. Ironic isn't it? There many things $2 million a week over six weeks can buy. The votes of working folks in Pennsylvania is not one of them. :thumbsup:

Under $15,000

(7%)

49%

51%

$15-30,000

(13%)

55%

45%

$30-50,000

(20%)

56%

44%

$50-75,000

(21%)

54%

46%

$75-100,000

(14%)

49%

51%

$100-150,000

(13%)

59%

40%

$150-200,000

(6%)

46%

54%

$200,000 or More

(7%)

35%

65%

Which Dem has won the White House without working folks? Obama's Starbucks Dem base will be much smaller in the GE. Affluent people exert disproportionate influence in primaries--something not lost on the supers. The fact is if you had GE demographics for the primaries Obama would be losing by at least 15% and the supers know it.

Here is the 2004 election breakdown by income in PA (Senate exit poll):

Under $15,000 (9%) 42% 51% 5%
$15-30,000 (16%) 48% 49% 2%
$30-50,000 (26%) 53% 43% 4%
$50-75,000 (22%) 54% 40% 6%
$75-100,000 (12%) 52% 42% 4%
$100-150,000 (9%) 58% 36% 3%
$150-200,000 (3%) 65% 31% 4%
$200,000 or More (3%) 79% 19% 1%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/PA/S/01/epolls.0.html

Net change from primaries to the GE using PA as a sample:

200k+ -4%
150-200k -3%
100-150k -4%
75-100k -2%
50-75k -1%

30-50K +6%
15-30k +3%
15k or less +2%

Both candidates are flawed. The difference is Clinton is winning the votes and states that are vital in the GE. Obama's bases shrink and there are 0 caucuses in the general election.