Obama Supporters: Keep the Faith! [View All]

[Tatiana]

SOUTH CAROLINA
RCP Average (01/15 to 01/25)
Obama: 38.4%
Clinton: 26.8%
Edwards: 19.2%
Obama +11.6
Actual Result: Obama +28.9 (55.4% to 26.5%)

MISSOURI
RCP Average (01/30 to 02/04)
Clinton: 47.5%
Obama: 41.8%
Clinton +5.7
Actual Result: Obama +1 (49% to 48%)

ALABAMA
RCP Average (01/29 to 02/04)
Clinton: 46.0%
Obama: 44.8%
Clinton +1.2
Actual Result: Obama +14 (56% to 42%)

VIRGINIA
RCP Average (02/06 to 02/10)
Obama: 55.0%
Clinton: 37.3%
Obama +17.7
Actual Result: Obama +28.2 (63.6% to 35.4%)

WISCONSIN
RCP Average (02/08 to 02/14)
Obama: 46.3%
Clinton: 42.0%
Obama +4.3
Actual Result: Obama +17.4 (58.1% to 40.7%)

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

As this sampling indicates, polls constantly underestimate Obama's strength with the electorate. Younger voters (many without landlines) usually are not weighted accurately in these polls. Younger voters are Obama's strength. Additionally, polling data typically under-represents first-time voters, who are also one of Obama's key demographic groups.

Remember, the polls had Clinton winning Missouri by 5+ points and Alabama by 1 point. Things are not as bad as they seem, in spite of all the negativity perpetuated. Every time the opposing side has gone negative, it has backfired. There is no reason to believe it will not backfire this time, as well.