Reply #6: A few points [View All]

[NewJerseyDem]

I think that in the long term Virginia and Florida have a lot of hope. I think that your analysis is a little too optimistic in how long it will take. Georgia, North Carolina, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Tennessee all show some promise. However, I think that it will be a while before we can make much improvement. South Carolina, Mississippi and Alabama seem like they will in the republican column for the near future.

I think that those people are clearly some rising stars. Mark Warner is pretty good and I really hope he will run against Allen in 2006 and win. Mark Pryor has been surprisingly liberal during his time in the senate. I was originally worried he would be more like Breaux or Nelson. He may turn right after seeing how liberal is ratings are from the ACU and ADA and he will have to bring back his conservative image to win. Tenenbaum shows a lot of promise. If she wins she could definitely be a leader in the South.

I'm not sure about John Edwards. If he ends up in January 2005 not being in the senate or white house and he didn't win the nomination or VP nomination his career could be really hurt. He may have overreached here.