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Reply #47: It won't??? Wishful thinking. Look at some Brutal Facts. [View All]

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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-04-04 10:59 PM
Response to Reply #13
47. It won't??? Wishful thinking. Look at some Brutal Facts.
66% of Americans are against gay marriage. Most of the those for it are already Democrats. That leaves the center voters and the Republicans almost completely against. For some of the swing voters this will be an important emotional hot button issue, and will push them into voting Rep.

Among Blacks, 75% are against it. Latinos are almost completely Roman Catholics, and the famous Latino machismo has little tolerance for gays. If even one in 20 of these groups vote Rep over this, then we lose the election.

The Reps control ALL of the committees and will be able to bring the amendment to a floor vote in congress. That means every Democrat in congress will have to vote or duck the vote. If they vote against the amendment in an election year, they will have to immediately face the voters. If they duck the vote, then they anger some of their base. For the Reps, it is a safe vote. Prediction: It will pass congress handily. After all, the DOMA passed and was signed by Clinton.

Also, 37 states have state DOMAs. Ratification should be easy. Most states have Rep controlled state legislatures, and it can be quickly brought to a floor vote in those states - great for putting Democrat state legislatures on the hot seat.

W & Rove should be down on their knees thanking their God for this magnificent election year gift.
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