Reply #45: A much more likely scenario is Iran being tricked into launching first. [View All]

[leveymg]

Remember the aircraft drop tanks that fell with a big bang 11 miles from the nuclear plant being constructed at Bushehr, Iran (say that aloud)?

That seemed to have set off a lot of alarm bells and the beginning of a retaliatory strike. What would the result be if a single, unmarked fighter bomber dropped a bomb right on the plant? Or, if a major Iranian figure were assassinated?

That would present a real dilemma for the Iranian military command: use 'em or lose them. Not a very long fuse, and easy to light. Too much of a temptation for some, I think.

I hope that the Europeans and Russians have run the Iranian Generals through some scenario planning of this sort. The world doesn't need another Sarajevo, 1914.



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