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Democratic Primaries

Celerity

(43,299 posts)

7. IF (and it is highly, highly unlikely) Sanders rolls in with 45% to 48% of pledged delegates

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #3)

Mon Mar 2, 2020, 06:40 PM

Mar 2020

and no one else is within 10 points of him, then it will (to his supporters) face up as he had it ripped away from him.

I think Biden goes in with a plurality, if not an outright 1991 or more delegate count. The plurality is the key, as Sanders cannot claim he 'won' at all if Biden sits at 43% and he is at 39% (you can move those numbers around, but the key is Biden has more delegates)

It will still be ugly, but not the nightmarish first scenario.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

The daily 538 cratering of Sanders continues unabated, on the verge of going sub 20% for 1991 [View all] Celerity Mar 2020 OP

saving the nation from an autocratic demogogue is worth the price. I mean trump of course :-) nt msongs Mar 2020 #1

Sanders just dropped to 17% with their 4:49 pm ET update. highplainsdem Mar 2020 #2

"having the nomination ripped away from him" TwilightZone Mar 2020 #3

IF (and it is highly, highly unlikely) Sanders rolls in with 45% to 48% of pledged delegates Celerity Mar 2020 #7

IF he came in with 48% Codeine Mar 2020 #10

agreed! Celerity Mar 2020 #11

That means other candidates would get 14%. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #13

Oh, I totally agree. Codeine Mar 2020 #14

With all the dropouts, it's highly unlikely to be 45/35 or similar. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #12

Great post. But a contested convention? A Trump/GOP dream come true. pampango Mar 2020 #4

"He may well still lose but he will smile " TwilightZone Mar 2020 #5

I meant he (and the rest of the GOP) will smile at the sight of a contested Democratic convention. pampango Mar 2020 #6

They don't care. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #8

If you feel that any candidate who arrives at the convention with 48% of the pledged delegates pampango Mar 2020 #9

Not happening. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #15