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Hillary Clinton
In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver's latest prediction for Indiana (83 delegates) [View all]LiberalFighter
(50,767 posts)30. Indiana should be roughly a 45 - 38 split for Clinton -- Net 7 delegates.
Based on current data it should result in delegates as follows:
Clinton: 1,709
Sanders: 1,409
Spread: 300
Remaining Delegates: 933
Based on supposed Bernie Math that states the nominee must have the majority of combined pledged and unpledged delegates using just pledged delegates the following:
Needed pledged delegates:
Clinton: 674
Sanders: 974
Needed percent of pledged delegates:
Clinton: 72.2%
Sanders: 104.4%
Clinton: 1,709
Sanders: 1,409
Spread: 300
Remaining Delegates: 933
Based on supposed Bernie Math that states the nominee must have the majority of combined pledged and unpledged delegates using just pledged delegates the following:
Needed pledged delegates:
Clinton: 674
Sanders: 974
Needed percent of pledged delegates:
Clinton: 72.2%
Sanders: 104.4%
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That's not the important part! It's the percentages that drive the primaries on the Dem side.
Buzz Clik
Apr 2016
#12
But if you scroll down the same page as the likelihood prediction, you see distributions of
spooky3
Apr 2016
#15
I'm not sure Silver, who doesn't poll states himself, can do what you are asking.
SaschaHM
May 2016
#37
Honestly, I kept thinking IN might be a pickup for BS. Obviously, Nate disagrees.
Tarheel_Dem
Apr 2016
#5
Let's hope that's the case. But Jane says that BS is about to explode with momentum.
Tarheel_Dem
Apr 2016
#18
I'm not sure Sanders organized well before the deadline to register this month.
SaschaHM
Apr 2016
#23
Indiana should be roughly a 45 - 38 split for Clinton -- Net 7 delegates.
LiberalFighter
Apr 2016
#30
But the college vote in Bloomington and West Lafayette is going to put him over the top
bluestateguy
Apr 2016
#35