Roland99
Roland99's Journal
If Electoral Votes Were Weighted by State Population Alone
https://www.270towin.com/news/2017/01/24/if-electoral-votes-were-weighted-by-state-population-alone-trump-303-clinton-235_442.htmlIn terms of electoral votes, winning a state by a huge margin is no better than winning by a very small one, and so, in a sense, all those extra actual votes cast for Clinton are not helpful in this framework. For those that favor a national popular vote, the methodology described on this page would likely not be a satisfactory alternative.
Background: Each state receives electoral votes equal to the size of its congressional delegation. That delegation is comprised of two Senators and one Representative for each congressional district in the state. The number of congressional districts is fixed at 435, with the districts reapportioned* across the 50 states, based on population, after each Census. Each state must have at least one congressional district, leaving 385 districts to be allocated by a mathematical formula. (The next Census will take place in 2020, with any changes in electoral votes being effective with the 2024 presidential election.
The above rules mean no state can have fewer than three electoral votes or, put another way, 385 electoral votes are allocated based on population, with 153 (including three for the District of Columbia) essentially fixed. The net effect of this is that smaller population states are overrepresented in the Electoral College, while larger states are underrepresented.
Not to mention the disparity in representation in the House:
How to Fix the House of Representatives in One Easy, Radical Step
https://time.com/5423623/house-representatives-number-seats/
Marc Elias - Hero of Democracy (new breaking news from NC)
https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1308468158911610882White heavy check markCount ballots postmarked by E-Day/received by 11/12.
White heavy check markAdopt a cure process for rejected absentees
White heavy check markEstablish VBM drop-off stations
Victory for @MajorityFwd, @RedistrictFdn and NC voters.
Seriously
Marc has been a stalwart for democracy and voting rights
He’s everywhere!
trump's Healthcare Plan coming in "two weeks"
FIRST OFF: the highlights of the Biden/Harris healthcare plan is here:
https://joebiden.com/healthcare/
Now...here are the details of the trump plan:
trump's Health Care plan coming in "two weeks"
==============================================
Feb 9, 2016 - "We will immediately repeal and replace ObamaCare - and nobody can do that like me. We will save $'s and have much better healthcare!"
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/697182075045179392
Jan 15, 2017 - “It’s very much formulated down to the final strokes. We haven’t put it in quite yet but we’re going to be doing it soon,”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-vows-insurance-for-everybody-in-obamacare-replacement-plan/2017/01/15/5f2b1e18-db5d-11e6-ad42-f3375f271c9c_story.html
Mar 9, 2017 - "Despite what you hear in the press, healthcare is coming along great. We are talking to many groups and it will end in a beautiful picture!"
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/839883804315684864
"And I never said — I guess I’m here, what, 64 days? I never said repeal and replace Obamacare. You’ve all heard my speeches. I never said repeal it and replace it within 64 days. I have a long time."
https://time.com/4713107/donald-trump-transcript-ahca-bill/
(NOTE: Refer to the VERY FIRST QUOTE ABOVE)
Oct 29, 2017 - "As usual, the ObamaCare premiums will be up (the Dems own it), but we will Repeal & Replace and have great Healthcare soon after Tax Cuts!"
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/924625061100867584
Mar 26, 2018 - "Well, we’re working on a plan now. There’s no very great rush from the standpoint."
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-marine-one-departure-36/
Jun 26, 2019 - "If we win the House back, keep the Senate and keep the presidency, we’ll have a plan that blows away ObamaCare"
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/450546-trumps-health-care-pitch-to-focus-on-lowering-costs
July 19, 2020 - "We're signing a health care plan within two weeks"
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/transcript-fox-news-sunday-interview-with-president-trump
Aug 3, 2020 - health care plan would be introduced “hopefully, prior to the end of the month.”
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-press-briefing-august-3-2020/
Aug 7, 2020 - "Over the next two weeks, I’ll be pursuing a major executive order requiring health insurance companies to cover all pre-existing conditions for all customers."
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-press-briefing-bedminster-nj/
(NOTE: The ACA, signed into law on Mar 23, 2010, already included coverage for all pre-existing conditions)
a final...death toll...in the range of 100,000 to 200,000
a final...death toll...in the range of 100,000 to 200,000...would indicate...his administration has “done a very good job.”
https://twitter.com/Scr0dman/status/1308440907922976772
Trump said that a final...death toll...in the range of 100,000 to 200,000...would indicate...his administration has “done a very good job.”
https://vox.com/2020/3/30/21199586/us-coronavirus-deaths-trump-200000-good-job
Does that chart look like it's anywhere near a **final** death toll???
FL - last week's Monmouth Poll has lots of positive info (but one frightening prediction)
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_FL_091520/Looking at regional strength another way, Biden currently has a 29-point lead (63% to 34%) in the 3-county southeast coastal portion of the state. He also has a small 6-point edge (50% to 44%) in central Florida. Trump leads in the rest of the state by 9 points (51% to 42%). In 2016, Clinton won the southeast by 28 points, but Trump won central Florida by less than a percentage point. He also won the remainder of the state by 19 points.
Central FL may be the key (along with increase turnout in the SE)
BUT, this is a scary move for FL primaries as I will NOT be surprised to see republicans run candidates as Dems in the primaries to siphon off votes.
Pollster that predicted trump MI win in 2016 and accurate in 2018 shows Biden up 2.4% in PA
Trafalgar Group, rated C by 538, managed to be the closest pollster to trump's win in MI in 2016 and was one of the most accurate in the 2018 elections.
They show tighter races in key states but still showing a Biden lead
PA (Biden +2.4 with 2.3% undecided):
https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1307719165256642562
NC (trump +1.7 with 2.5% undecided)
https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1305603212272177161
NC-Sen (Cunningham +0.8 with 5.3% undecided)
https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1305671820033613832
This is NOT an endorsement of them. Cahaly is certainly conservative and probably a trump supporter but their numbers have been pretty accurate (he claims that his 'how do you think your neighbors will vote' questions pull trump supporters out of the woodwork who are probably embarrassed or even ashamed of their support of him but support him regardless)
Oh...note: a key Senate seat we need to keep (Peters in MI) shows a repuke lead:
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/mi-sen-0820/
Archaeologists unearth 27 ancient coffins, unopened since they were buried more than 2,500 years ago
Archaeologists unearth 27 ancient coffins — unopened since they were buried more than 2,500 years ago
https://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/nationworld/ct-nw-egypt-coffins-saqqara-pyramid-20200921-azcjodhmiballib2tig3swdhx4-story.html
The sarcophagi have remained unopened since they were buried more than 2,500 years ago near the famed Step Pyramid of Djoser in Saqqara, said Neveine el-Arif, a spokeswomen for the Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities. She said 13 coffins were found earlier this month in a newly discovered, 36 feet well, and that 14 more were found last week in another well.
Footage shared by the ministry showed colorful sarcophagi decorated with ancient Egyptian hieroglyphics, as well as other artifacts the ministry said were found in the two wells.
...
Archaeologists were still working to determine the origins of the coffins, el-Arif said, adding that more details and “secrets” would likely be announced next month.
Why does this seem like the exact WRONG thing to do in 2020?
Once hailed 'America's richest man,' he's now raising cash by selling his jet, 257-foot yacht, art..
Once hailed as ‘America’s richest man,’ he’s now raising cash by selling his jet, 257-foot yacht and loads of art
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/once-hailed-as-americas-richest-man-hes-now-raising-cash-by-selling-his-private-jet-257-foot-yacht-and-loads-of-art-11600655045
‘I realized that for far too long, I have been holding onto too many things that I don’t use or even want. I concluded that it’s time for me to clean house, simplify and give others the chance to enjoy some of the beautiful things that I’ve acquired just as I have for decades.’
“Often when people say this sort of thing, it’s masking something else. In Ronald’s case, it’s true,” Graydon Carter, the former editor of Vanity Fair who’s know Perelman for three decades, told Bloomberg. “He has learned to love and appreciate the bourgeois comforts of family and home.”
...
But Richard Hack, the author behind a 1996 biography of Perelman, isn’t buying it.
“If you want a simpler life, you go buy a farm in Oklahoma, not sell a painting out of your townhouse in Manhattan,” he told Bloomberg. “If he’s selling his art, it’s because he needs cash.”
Where's my violin?
So, the White House has gas-powered TVs??
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1307467864581046278And he calls melanoma “darling”? Riiiiight
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Gender: MaleHometown: Louisville, KY
Current location: Central FL
Member since: Thu Sep 16, 2004, 02:03 PM
Number of posts: 53,342
