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jpak
jpak's Journal
jpak's Journal
August 25, 2013
<snip>
The answer is technology improvement. In Mehta's latest report, he forecasted that top Chinese manufacturers will be making solar modules for 36 cents per watt by 2017. But with very little room for polysilicon prices to keep falling, refinements to technology -- increasing conversion efficiency, reducing yield loss and automating production lines -- become absolutely critical, as the following chart indicates.
From 2013 to 2014, the cost reductions from Chinese companies will only be about a penny per watt. But from 2014 to 2017, companies may shave off another 10 cents.
"This is due to a very large drop in labor costs," said Mehta. "We need a significant increase in the degree of automation employed by Chinese companies to mitigate labor inflation there."
Because labor costs have been relatively low in China, manufacturing processes there have been much more dependent on people. But labor costs have increased by roughly 10 percent annually since 2009, and manufacturers will eventually have to react by automating their production lines -- in line with with Korean, Taiwanese, Japanese, European and American producers. GTM Research projects a 25 percent decline in labor costs from 2012 to 2017 due to automation.
<more>
If labor costs are not a factor - why can't US cell & module manufacturers compete with China?
Because our so-called "free market" republicans do not support our solar industry like the Chinese communists do theirs.
...and they are eating our lunch.
We coulda been a contenda....
yup
Here’s How Chinese Firms Will Produce Solar for 36 Cents per Watt
http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/solar-cost-reduction-drivers-in-2017<snip>
The answer is technology improvement. In Mehta's latest report, he forecasted that top Chinese manufacturers will be making solar modules for 36 cents per watt by 2017. But with very little room for polysilicon prices to keep falling, refinements to technology -- increasing conversion efficiency, reducing yield loss and automating production lines -- become absolutely critical, as the following chart indicates.
From 2013 to 2014, the cost reductions from Chinese companies will only be about a penny per watt. But from 2014 to 2017, companies may shave off another 10 cents.
"This is due to a very large drop in labor costs," said Mehta. "We need a significant increase in the degree of automation employed by Chinese companies to mitigate labor inflation there."
Because labor costs have been relatively low in China, manufacturing processes there have been much more dependent on people. But labor costs have increased by roughly 10 percent annually since 2009, and manufacturers will eventually have to react by automating their production lines -- in line with with Korean, Taiwanese, Japanese, European and American producers. GTM Research projects a 25 percent decline in labor costs from 2012 to 2017 due to automation.
<more>
If labor costs are not a factor - why can't US cell & module manufacturers compete with China?
Because our so-called "free market" republicans do not support our solar industry like the Chinese communists do theirs.
...and they are eating our lunch.
We coulda been a contenda....
yup
August 21, 2013
Innovative Solar Systems, LLC has quickly become the number two solar developer in North Carolina within their first two years in business. The company started out developing solar farm projects in the 1 to 2 megawatt size and has now grown to developing larger projects like the 20MW, 50MW and 100MW projects slated to be shovel ready by sometime in 2014.
Innovative Solar Systems plans a total of 25 utility scale solar farms to be fully developed and ready for construction in 2014. Many of these projects are currently under going engineering review by Duke Energy Progress and will be shovel ready by January 2014. Of those twenty five projects, approximately twenty (20) will be 2.5MW size projects on 15 acre land tracts along with the larger projects ranging from 20MW to 100MW which will be on land tracts that range in size from 100 acres to 600 acres.
Last year in 2012 we developed and received approvals on eleven (11) large solar farm projects in various counties throughout the state. Most of those projects will be on line and commissioned by January 2014, said Green of ISS, so we're getting to be a major player in solar within North Carolina. The company is also in early stages of developing large scale solar projects in other states and abroad.
The solar farms being developed in North Carolina by ISS will provide power for approximately 200,000 homes all over and across the state. North Carolina remains a developer friendly state for solar and provides for 35% NC Tax Credits, 30% Federal Credits and accelerated system depreciation.
<more>
Asheville NC Solar Developer Plans 25 Solar Farms for 2014
http://www.altenergymag.com/news/2013/08/19/asheville-nc-solar-developer-plans-25-solar-farms-for-2014/30489Innovative Solar Systems, LLC has quickly become the number two solar developer in North Carolina within their first two years in business. The company started out developing solar farm projects in the 1 to 2 megawatt size and has now grown to developing larger projects like the 20MW, 50MW and 100MW projects slated to be shovel ready by sometime in 2014.
Innovative Solar Systems plans a total of 25 utility scale solar farms to be fully developed and ready for construction in 2014. Many of these projects are currently under going engineering review by Duke Energy Progress and will be shovel ready by January 2014. Of those twenty five projects, approximately twenty (20) will be 2.5MW size projects on 15 acre land tracts along with the larger projects ranging from 20MW to 100MW which will be on land tracts that range in size from 100 acres to 600 acres.
Last year in 2012 we developed and received approvals on eleven (11) large solar farm projects in various counties throughout the state. Most of those projects will be on line and commissioned by January 2014, said Green of ISS, so we're getting to be a major player in solar within North Carolina. The company is also in early stages of developing large scale solar projects in other states and abroad.
The solar farms being developed in North Carolina by ISS will provide power for approximately 200,000 homes all over and across the state. North Carolina remains a developer friendly state for solar and provides for 35% NC Tax Credits, 30% Federal Credits and accelerated system depreciation.
<more>
August 21, 2013
Despite foot-dragging by the state’s leadership on solar policies, residential solar installation prices recently hit $3.90 per watt in Texas, lower than anywhere else in the nation. It’s part of a nationwide plunge in installation prices for the smaller systems — generally 10 kilowatts or less — used for individual homes. According to a new report out of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, that national price fell from around $12 per watt in 1998 to $5.30 per watt in 2012.
Large utility-scale solar systems saw a similar plunge in installation price, hitting $4.60 per watt in 2012. But it’s the small, distributed residential systems that could fundamentally remake the electricity market in America, and have been a large part of the growing pro-solar coalitions between environmentalists and the Tea Party.
Granted, residential solar is still a relatively small slice of national capacity, but it’s also been the least sensitive to seasonality and market volatility.
And according to the Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory report, of all the states with measurable observations of 15 or more, Texas clocked in with the lowest median price of $3.90 per watt.
CREDIT: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory & US Dept. of Energy
Garrett Gordy, the owner of Texas Solar Outfitters in Houston, told the Houston Chronicle that he’s sold 10-kilowatt systems for as low as $3.60 per watt. At that price, after accounting for various tax incentives, such a system would pay for itself within 12 years.
<more>
In Texas, Oil Is Big But Solar Is Cheap
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2013/08/19/2492781/the-installation-prices-for-residential-solar-in-the-nation-can-be-found-in-texas/Despite foot-dragging by the state’s leadership on solar policies, residential solar installation prices recently hit $3.90 per watt in Texas, lower than anywhere else in the nation. It’s part of a nationwide plunge in installation prices for the smaller systems — generally 10 kilowatts or less — used for individual homes. According to a new report out of the U.S. Department of Energy’s Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, that national price fell from around $12 per watt in 1998 to $5.30 per watt in 2012.
Large utility-scale solar systems saw a similar plunge in installation price, hitting $4.60 per watt in 2012. But it’s the small, distributed residential systems that could fundamentally remake the electricity market in America, and have been a large part of the growing pro-solar coalitions between environmentalists and the Tea Party.
Granted, residential solar is still a relatively small slice of national capacity, but it’s also been the least sensitive to seasonality and market volatility.
And according to the Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory report, of all the states with measurable observations of 15 or more, Texas clocked in with the lowest median price of $3.90 per watt.
CREDIT: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory & US Dept. of Energy
Garrett Gordy, the owner of Texas Solar Outfitters in Houston, told the Houston Chronicle that he’s sold 10-kilowatt systems for as low as $3.60 per watt. At that price, after accounting for various tax incentives, such a system would pay for itself within 12 years.
<more>
August 21, 2013
Three major solar manufacturers are producing panels at full speed and contemplating plans to expand capacity to meet surging demand in Asia.
Trina Solar Ltd. (TSL), the third-largest panel producer, increased its forecast for panel shipments this year to as much as 2.4 gigawatts from an earlier range of 2 gigawatts to 2.1 gigawatts, according to a statement yesterday. That matches the Changzhou, China-based company’s estimated annual production, and it may boost capacity next year.
SunPower Corp. (SPWR) and JinkoSolar Holding Co. (JKS) said they’re also running their factories at maximum and mulling ways to boost output. The industry has been battered by excess production that drove panel prices down 61 percent since the start of 2011. Rising demand in Asia is soaking up the surplus and will prompt the biggest producers to expand factories, said Angelo Zino, an analyst at Standard & Poor’s in New York.
“I think it’s safe to say that we’ll see a number of tier one manufacturers add capacity, probably in 2014,” Zino said in an interview yesterday.
<more>
Solar Manufacturers May Boost Capacity as Demand Surges
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-20/trina-joins-sunpower-and-jinko-in-solar-turnararound.htmlThree major solar manufacturers are producing panels at full speed and contemplating plans to expand capacity to meet surging demand in Asia.
Trina Solar Ltd. (TSL), the third-largest panel producer, increased its forecast for panel shipments this year to as much as 2.4 gigawatts from an earlier range of 2 gigawatts to 2.1 gigawatts, according to a statement yesterday. That matches the Changzhou, China-based company’s estimated annual production, and it may boost capacity next year.
SunPower Corp. (SPWR) and JinkoSolar Holding Co. (JKS) said they’re also running their factories at maximum and mulling ways to boost output. The industry has been battered by excess production that drove panel prices down 61 percent since the start of 2011. Rising demand in Asia is soaking up the surplus and will prompt the biggest producers to expand factories, said Angelo Zino, an analyst at Standard & Poor’s in New York.
“I think it’s safe to say that we’ll see a number of tier one manufacturers add capacity, probably in 2014,” Zino said in an interview yesterday.
<more>
August 19, 2013
Today’s graph is sourced from the recent Goldman Sachs analysis of the thermal coal industry, and its conclusion that the window for investment is closing rapidly – thanks to reduced demand, and because of the rise of renewables and other cleaner energy sources.
Goldman Sachs says there are three big themes governing the outlook for thermal coal; the first is environmental regulation, be it air quality or greenhouse gas emissions (which lead to more expensive coal); the second is energy efficiency (which leads to less consumption of coal), and the third i
s the growth in renewables.
To illustrate the point about how growing amounts of renewables impact coal generation, the Goldman Sachs analysts looked at the recent experience of Spain.
Goldman Sachs says Spain is a good example of how increases in renewable energy production has to be offset by a lower average load among fossil fuel plants. “Rising generation from solar plants in particular (whose output often coincides with the time of peak power demand) can result in lower peak power tariffs, undermining the profitability of many conventional power plants,” it says.
?fit=570%2C1200
<more>
heckuva job
yup
Graphs: How Wind Power Displaced Coal Power In Spain
http://cleantechnica.com/2013/08/19/graph-how-wind-power-displaced-coal-power-in-spain/#7z32HEjp6FhAIjoB.99Today’s graph is sourced from the recent Goldman Sachs analysis of the thermal coal industry, and its conclusion that the window for investment is closing rapidly – thanks to reduced demand, and because of the rise of renewables and other cleaner energy sources.
Goldman Sachs says there are three big themes governing the outlook for thermal coal; the first is environmental regulation, be it air quality or greenhouse gas emissions (which lead to more expensive coal); the second is energy efficiency (which leads to less consumption of coal), and the third i
s the growth in renewables.
To illustrate the point about how growing amounts of renewables impact coal generation, the Goldman Sachs analysts looked at the recent experience of Spain.
Goldman Sachs says Spain is a good example of how increases in renewable energy production has to be offset by a lower average load among fossil fuel plants. “Rising generation from solar plants in particular (whose output often coincides with the time of peak power demand) can result in lower peak power tariffs, undermining the profitability of many conventional power plants,” it says.
?fit=570%2C1200
<more>
heckuva job
yup
August 19, 2013
Solar PV scored an unprecedented amount of electricity output, increasing its contribution to Italy's energy mix to 7.3% of the total electricity demand in the first seven months of the year.
In July alone, Italy produced a record 2,957 GWh of PV energy, a 22.1% boost over July 2012.
According to a recently published report by TERNA, Italy's electricity grid operator, solar PV systems in Italy in the period generated 13,810 GWh of electricity, an almost 20% increase compared to the same period last year.
<snip>.
In July alone, Italy produced a record 2,957 GWh of energy from photovoltaics, the highest monthly solar PV output in the country ever. In comparison, in July 2012, solar photovoltaics provided 2,421 GWh of electricity in Italy, 22.1% less than this year.
<more>
Solar PV power output in Italy hits unprecedented high
http://www.pv-magazine.com/news/details/beitrag/solar-pv-power-output-in-italy-hits-unprecedented-high-_100012430/#axzz2cS53krj4Solar PV scored an unprecedented amount of electricity output, increasing its contribution to Italy's energy mix to 7.3% of the total electricity demand in the first seven months of the year.
In July alone, Italy produced a record 2,957 GWh of PV energy, a 22.1% boost over July 2012.
According to a recently published report by TERNA, Italy's electricity grid operator, solar PV systems in Italy in the period generated 13,810 GWh of electricity, an almost 20% increase compared to the same period last year.
<snip>.
In July alone, Italy produced a record 2,957 GWh of energy from photovoltaics, the highest monthly solar PV output in the country ever. In comparison, in July 2012, solar photovoltaics provided 2,421 GWh of electricity in Italy, 22.1% less than this year.
<more>
August 19, 2013
I live in Poland, which (for the geographically indifferent) is right next to Germany. Actually, the city where I live, Wrocław, was once part of Germany, and it’s now just a couple hours to the German border from here. From living in this city for 5 years, I can tell you one thing with great emphasis: this is one super-grey area of the world. Actually, the weather at the moment reminds me of winter weather in Florida (my home state). I was looking at a lot of solar irradiation maps and stats just yesterday, and I happened to notice that Florida gets about twice as much average sunshine per day as Wrocław — I’m sure it’s the same across Germany. So, really, I am stunned when I think about how much solar power the country is producing relative to other countries (especially relative to the humungous and sunny USA).
It was just reported the other day that Germany has broken its monthly solar power generation record yet again. In July, the super-grey country rose above 5.1 TWh of electricity from solar panel systems. That’s according to the latest data from the EEX Transparency Platform.
That actually beats the 5 TWh of electricity from wind turbines that the country logged in January (it’s also a wind power leader, in case you weren’t aware).
More emphatically, that crushes the 0.764 TWh of electricity solar PV and solar thermal systems produced in the US in May 2013 (the latest month for which we have data) as well as the 0.522 TWh produced in the US in July 2012.
<more>
But we have been told that solar is a "failure" in Germany.
Apparently not
yup
Germany Breaks Monthly Solar Generation Record, ~6.5 Times More Than US Best
http://cleantechnica.com/2013/08/19/germany-breaks-monthly-solar-generation-record/I live in Poland, which (for the geographically indifferent) is right next to Germany. Actually, the city where I live, Wrocław, was once part of Germany, and it’s now just a couple hours to the German border from here. From living in this city for 5 years, I can tell you one thing with great emphasis: this is one super-grey area of the world. Actually, the weather at the moment reminds me of winter weather in Florida (my home state). I was looking at a lot of solar irradiation maps and stats just yesterday, and I happened to notice that Florida gets about twice as much average sunshine per day as Wrocław — I’m sure it’s the same across Germany. So, really, I am stunned when I think about how much solar power the country is producing relative to other countries (especially relative to the humungous and sunny USA).
It was just reported the other day that Germany has broken its monthly solar power generation record yet again. In July, the super-grey country rose above 5.1 TWh of electricity from solar panel systems. That’s according to the latest data from the EEX Transparency Platform.
That actually beats the 5 TWh of electricity from wind turbines that the country logged in January (it’s also a wind power leader, in case you weren’t aware).
More emphatically, that crushes the 0.764 TWh of electricity solar PV and solar thermal systems produced in the US in May 2013 (the latest month for which we have data) as well as the 0.522 TWh produced in the US in July 2012.
<more>
But we have been told that solar is a "failure" in Germany.
Apparently not
yup
August 16, 2013
The Obama Administration is building the nation’s biggest wind farm to generate electricity to help … assemble the nation’s nuclear arsenal.
It’s boasting of the great environmental stewardship the project represents — breezes for bombs? — and has contracted with Siemens USA, the American subsidiary of a German company, for the wind turbines at the heart of the operation.
The government broke ground on Tuesday for the Pantex Renewable Energy Project. When finished next summer, it will include five 2.3-MW wind turbines on 1,500 acres (607 hectares) of government-owned property east of the Pantex plant in the Texas panhandle. “Pantex is charged with securing America by providing the nation’s nuclear deterrent,” the fissile factory says, “and is now the future home of the federal government’s largest wind farm.”
The wind farm “will be funded by the energy savings guaranteed by Siemens,” Pantex says — an estimated $50 million over 18 years.
<more>
Nuclear Wind
http://swampland.time.com/2013/08/14/nuclear-wind/The Obama Administration is building the nation’s biggest wind farm to generate electricity to help … assemble the nation’s nuclear arsenal.
It’s boasting of the great environmental stewardship the project represents — breezes for bombs? — and has contracted with Siemens USA, the American subsidiary of a German company, for the wind turbines at the heart of the operation.
The government broke ground on Tuesday for the Pantex Renewable Energy Project. When finished next summer, it will include five 2.3-MW wind turbines on 1,500 acres (607 hectares) of government-owned property east of the Pantex plant in the Texas panhandle. “Pantex is charged with securing America by providing the nation’s nuclear deterrent,” the fissile factory says, “and is now the future home of the federal government’s largest wind farm.”
The wind farm “will be funded by the energy savings guaranteed by Siemens,” Pantex says — an estimated $50 million over 18 years.
<more>
August 15, 2013
Scottish Hydro Electric Power Distribution has connected the UK’s first large-scale battery to the local electricity distribution network on Orkney.
The trial project will determine what kind of role the devices could play in the release of capacity on the network and explore how the intermittency issues affecting renewable generation could be resolved.
The 2MW lithium ion battery has been developed by Mitsubishi Power Systems Europe and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and will be operated by SSE Generation.
The unit, which is installed at Kirkwall Power Station, will absorb and store excess renewable energy that would otherwise be constrained from the network.
<more>
Battery charge on Orkney (2 MW Li-ion battery)
http://renews.biz/48014/battery-trial-kicks-off-on-orkney/Scottish Hydro Electric Power Distribution has connected the UK’s first large-scale battery to the local electricity distribution network on Orkney.
The trial project will determine what kind of role the devices could play in the release of capacity on the network and explore how the intermittency issues affecting renewable generation could be resolved.
The 2MW lithium ion battery has been developed by Mitsubishi Power Systems Europe and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and will be operated by SSE Generation.
The unit, which is installed at Kirkwall Power Station, will absorb and store excess renewable energy that would otherwise be constrained from the network.
<more>
August 15, 2013
The global offshore wind energy market will enjoy rapid growth over the next seven years, led by the deployment of a new fleet of offshore wind farms in British waters.
That is the conclusion of a new report from analyst firm GlobalData, which predicts global offshore wind capacity will grow from 5.5GW in 2012 to 51.2GW by the end of the decade, largely as a result of the UK's plans for new offshore wind farms.
IKEA bolts together renewables portfolio with Irish wind farm acquisition
As a result, the sector is expected to enjoy a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.3 per cent between 2012 and 2013.
The UK is expected to retain its leadership position in the offshore wind market, but GlobalData's projections imply other countries will start to expand their offshore wind capacity.
The UK's offshore wind industry is aiming to deliver around 18GW of capacity by 2020 through the development of the next wave of so-called Round 3 projects. But Germany, France, South Korea, China and the US are among those pursuing plans for new offshore wind farms.
<more>
Report: Global offshore wind market to grow 32 per cent year-on-year
http://www.businessgreen.com/bg/news/2288939/report-global-offshore-wind-market-to-grow-32-per-cent-yearonyearThe global offshore wind energy market will enjoy rapid growth over the next seven years, led by the deployment of a new fleet of offshore wind farms in British waters.
That is the conclusion of a new report from analyst firm GlobalData, which predicts global offshore wind capacity will grow from 5.5GW in 2012 to 51.2GW by the end of the decade, largely as a result of the UK's plans for new offshore wind farms.
IKEA bolts together renewables portfolio with Irish wind farm acquisition
As a result, the sector is expected to enjoy a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.3 per cent between 2012 and 2013.
The UK is expected to retain its leadership position in the offshore wind market, but GlobalData's projections imply other countries will start to expand their offshore wind capacity.
The UK's offshore wind industry is aiming to deliver around 18GW of capacity by 2020 through the development of the next wave of so-called Round 3 projects. But Germany, France, South Korea, China and the US are among those pursuing plans for new offshore wind farms.
<more>
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