Biden narrowly ahead in Iowa as Sanders surges, Warren drops: poll

[Sloumeau]

( https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/474016-biden-narrowly-ahead-in-iowa-poll-as-sanders-surges-warren-drops )

By Tal Axelrod - 12/10/19 09:54 PM EST

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) are leading the 2020 Democratic primary field in the crucial caucus state of Iowa as Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) sinks, according to a Emerson College poll released Tuesday.

Biden and Sanders are neck-and-neck at the top of the survey, garnering the support of 23 percent and 22 percent of Democratic caucus-goers, respectively. South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg comes in third at 18 percent and Warren sits at fourth with 12 percent.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) comes in fifth place in the poll at 10 percent, while no other candidate breaks double digits.

...

Woohoo! Biden is now ahead in Iowa! It looks like that No Malarkey tour of rural Iowa may have helped a bunch!

[democratisphere]

1. I like REAL Democrats for the win!

[Kentonio]

6. Each to their own I guess

Personally I like candidates who care the most about working people's lives and needs, but I guess purity test sports fan behavior is more important to some folks.

[janterry]

8. I'd be more than happy to back Sanders if he's ahead

I honestly believe that Biden will lose - and the whole campaign would be about his missteps and his son.

We met Bernie last year (my daughter was a finalist in his annual essay contest for HS students). A lovely man with a brilliant outlook for the future.

[Cha]

23. NO, you're Wrong.. Joe Biden is the one who is the

Uniter.

Civil Rights Leader Dr.Robert Green who worked closely with Dr. Martin Luther King for many years endorses @JoeBiden for President

“Joe Biden is a statesman, leader, and above all else, a unifier. I had the fortune to tell Joe all of this in person when he visited the west side of Las Vegas last month. More than 50 years ago, I personally witnessed his ability to bring together people of different races, cultures, and backgrounds in Newcastle County, Delaware. Today, that kind of leadership is needed to unify our country. Joe possesses exactly the type of leadership that this country needs now. He will heal and unify the soul of our nation. I am proud to stand with Joe and work hard to make sure he is the next President of the United States of America.”

https://blog.4president.org/2020/2019/12/civil-rights-leader-dr-robert-green-endorses-joe-biden-for-president.html

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287376758

Joe Biden gets major South Carolina endorsement from former Harris backers

Columbia, South Carolina – A prominent group of black women activists in South Carolina that backed Kamala Harris endorsed Joe Biden on Tuesday, further strengthening the former vice president's standing in the first-in-the-South primary state.

Known as "The Reckoning Crew," the group of three dozen women includes current and former elected officials, activists, and faith leaders and has played a critical role in grassroots organizing in the state. Biden's path to the nomination relies heavily on the South Carolina primary, which figures to play an outsized role in determining the party's presidential nominee because of its high percentage of African American voters.

"It's time for us to unite as one and put all of our energy behind the candidate who will not only beat Donald Trump but knows how to fix what he's broken on day one," said the group's founder, Bernice Scott, a former Richland County councilwoman. "And from there, we are confident Joe will continue to build on the history he made with Barack Obama."

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=377559

[janterry]

32. I've watched him for years

and it's always the same. I don't know what kind of hubris has motivated him, but I'm so profoundly disappointed I can barely type.

[Cha]

33. I'll take to heart the words of John Kerry, Dr Robert Green,

Michael McFaul, and all the brilliant People who have endorsed Joe Biden.

[Cha]

15. I like the candidate who is the Uniter.. & who will beat trump..

Civil Rights Leader Dr.Robert Green who worked closely with Dr. Martin Luther King for many years endorses @JoeBiden for President

“Joe Biden is a statesman, leader, and above all else, a unifier. I had the fortune to tell Joe all of this in person when he visited the west side of Las Vegas last month. More than 50 years ago, I personally witnessed his ability to bring together people of different races, cultures, and backgrounds in Newcastle County, Delaware. Today, that kind of leadership is needed to unify our country. Joe possesses exactly the type of leadership that this country needs now. He will heal and unify the soul of our nation. I am proud to stand with Joe and work hard to make sure he is the next President of the United States of America.”

https://blog.4president.org/2020/2019/12/civil-rights-leader-dr-robert-green-endorses-joe-biden-for-president.html

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287376758

Joe Biden gets major South Carolina endorsement from former Harris backers

Columbia, South Carolina – A prominent group of black women activists in South Carolina that backed Kamala Harris endorsed Joe Biden on Tuesday, further strengthening the former vice president's standing in the first-in-the-South primary state.

Known as "The Reckoning Crew," the group of three dozen women includes current and former elected officials, activists, and faith leaders and has played a critical role in grassroots organizing in the state. Biden's path to the nomination relies heavily on the South Carolina primary, which figures to play an outsized role in determining the party's presidential nominee because of its high percentage of African American voters.

"It's time for us to unite as one and put all of our energy behind the candidate who will not only beat Donald Trump but knows how to fix what he's broken on day one," said the group's founder, Bernice Scott, a former Richland County councilwoman. "And from there, we are confident Joe will continue to build on the history he made with Barack Obama."

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=377559

[onetexan]

10. Ditto!!

We need a real Dem candidate, our Obi Wan Joe.

[TexasTowelie]

26. LOL.

That was a reference to the thread I posted earlier in the month. Seeing that I didn't use the actual title of the article for the thread it's obvious where the reference came from.

[Lucky Luciano]

27. Your preference is Sanders?

If I’m not mistaken, you were very critical of him in the recent past or am I wrong?

[TexasTowelie]

31. The only thing that I can say is

that you shouldn't believe everything you see on the Internet.

[UncleNoel]

16. I would say Biden and Sandders surge while Warren and Buttigieg slide.

Anyway the No Malarkey tour seemed to payoff big time.

[Cha]

2. Well, wasn't Joe Biden way behind in Iowa not too

long ago? So it would seem like Biden is doing a bit of "surging" himself!

Woohoo! Biden is now ahead in Iowa! It looks like that No Malarkey tour of rural Iowa may have helped a bunch!

Yes! The dreaded "No Malarkey" tour that some needed to mock..

Link to tweet

This and SOS John Kerry & Gov Tom Vilsack

Mahalo, Sloumeau.. I can relate to how happy you are!

[Sloumeau]

3. Cha, you are very welcome.

Mahalo for your enthusiastic response.

[Cha]

4. A' ole pilikia, Slouneau..

Your OP inspired me!

[countingbluecars]

5. Enjoyed the article-go Joe!

(but isn't malarkey a noun)

[Cha]

7. Wasn't it an awesome article? Some snips..

"I know it’s very uncool – at least in the precincts of snarky lefty Twitter – to defend Joe Biden, but I’ll give it a try."

Biden has virtually branded the word as his own. During his first presidential bid in 1988, he assailed Republican rhetoric: “Don’t buy all this malarkey!” As the veep in 2012, he mocked Paul Ryan for spouting “a bunch of malarkey.” In 2016, he said that Trump’s promises were “a bunch of malarkey.”

Of course, Noah is wrong here..

On cable TV, Trevor Noah said that nobody knows what malarkey means “unless you’re over the age of 80.” New York magazine weighed in as well, because it’s important to be edgy. Its headline: 77-Year-Old Candidate Hopes ‘No Malarkey’ Will Excite Voters.

They’re his base, and they’ve kept him at the top of the Democratic race. The “No Malarkey” slogan is designed specifically for them. Young people think the slogan is synonymous with old guy, but, as one Biden precinct captain in Iowa told Politico, “Older people know what it means, and older people vote.”

Of course, if Biden does win the nomination – propelled by older voters, and racking up delegates in the most populous states thanks especially to older black voters – he’ll need to gin up support among the young for the home stretch. But that’s a fight for another day, and if young people were to ultimately decide that their landslide hostility toward Trump is somehow outweighed by Biden’s profile as an old guy, the consequences for this nation could be tragic.

You're right Malarkey is a noun.. I'll have to tell Dick Polman.. lol

Thank you, countingbluecars!

[onetexan]

12. LOL the 'No malarkey' tour certainly lives up to its name doesnt it?

Aptly named. No malarkey there huh Cha

Hope your day is swell in the beautiful islands. Hubby wants to do 4 Seasons Maui in a couple years. We did Big Island & Oahu 6 years ago. Oh lala!
Daughter was down w the flu so we didnt trek up to Dfw to join my folks, just had a Jewish Thanksgiving @home with Chinese food, Schizuan variety . Hubby &kiddo like spicy food. Fine w me i didnt have to cook


BTW, us Americans have a habit of turning nouns into verbs. Case in point:My soon2be Longhorn alumnus kiddo (whose a Linguistics major fluent in several languages so i'll consider her an authority in the noun2verb matter) told me this summer she was "adulting"...had me ROTFL .

we can further exhibit this by saying Joe is "no malarkeying" with his No Malarkey tour. The buck stops with Joe!

[Cha]

17. Wow.. your Thanksgiving was Awesome, onetexan!

And, Four Seasons Maui in a couple of years sounds fantastic.. you're making it around the Islands.. how adventurous ya'll are.!

Did you see this article on "No Malarkey? It's interesting..

https://www.penncapital-star.com/commentary/snarky-mockery-of-joe-biden-is-sheer-malarkey-dick-polman/

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=377943

[Cha]

19. Yes I know about us Americans and our

penchant for verbing nouns.. I love it! wow.. I just looked up "verbing".. I thought I was making up a word.. and it's in the dictionary meaning exactly what I was using it for. lol

It's great your daughter is fluent in several languages.. I always admired that.. being able to communicate with all kinds of people in their own languages!

the guy in the article I suggested you read said the noun "malarkey" was an adjective.. so I guess he's cool.

[onetexan]

24. VERBING - brilliant!!

Love it! I just learned something new from ya Cha, thanks! As the young people would do, !

Thank u for the article as well - poignant & so well written. This young chap has learned a thing or two from us old folks it seems. I hope his generation, his contemporaries (millenials and post-millenials or whatever they're called) will realize what's at stake and care enough to turn out in record breaking numbers to throw this fake POTUS & world's greatest Idiot out of office. This is by far the most important election of our times. I'm confident us older folks will get Joe the nomination. But the younguns' votes are critical to getting him into the WH, keeping the House and retaking the Senate.

[Cha]

25. I learned it, too.. and was inspired by you!

I know.. bottom line.. we have to throw "the world's biggest idiot" out of our WH.. that is our Revolution!

Last election was the most important then.. and now thanks to all those who got sucker by stein & trump's LIES.. this one is the final last chance hope to save our beautiful Planet!

[ritapria]

9. Which candidate has the best Healthcare Policy ?

Emerson Iowa Poll : Bernie 31% Buttigieg 19% Biden 18% Warren 13% Klobuchar 9%

[TexasTowelie]

30. However, M4A is the most popular plan in only two groups--

those already on Medicare/Medicaid and those on their parents policies. M4A loses to the public option or keep things the same among those who have employer based coverage and those who purchased their own plans. Nearly half of those who have health care coverage through their parents are unsure which plan they support. Considering that the youth demographic is the least likely to show up and vote, it leads me to believe that the number that support Bernie or Warren is skewed upward.



FWIW, it is troubling to notice that there is a category for those that don't even have a clue who is providing their insurance coverage--are people that oblivious to an issue that should be important in their lives? It's also equally interesting that there isn't any mention of a category for those who have no insurance coverage at all. We know that demographic exists so why isn't there any mention of them in the poll?

I've had difficulty believing a lot of the poll results that Emerson has provided this entire primary season for who is the most popular candidate since there have been large swings going from month to month. Even though Emerson is touted as being rated as an A- poll, I have even less confidence in their results when they drill down to individual issues like health care. There are too many inconsistencies and I doubt that they will remain an A- poll in the future. Three decades of experience as a statistician have taught me to read between the lines.

ETA: Is the "something else" option for those willing to abandon the ACA (aka Republicans) who also won't support the public option or M4A?

[quickesst]

11. I can remember....

.... not too long ago some Warren and Sanders supporters were dancing on Joe Biden's political grave when he was in fourth place.

[onetexan]

13. Ah yes, good ol' selective memory

Loved how he challenged the Idiot to a round of pushups, and same to that trumper who questioned his age. That guy didnt seem like he could get off the floor on his knees, nevermind doing pushups.

[quickesst]

34. Yeah

Joe's in pretty good shape.

[Cha]

21. And, snark mockery!

Link to tweet

Mahalo, quickesst!

[quickesst]

35. Hey Cha!

I think Joe is going to be okay, especially once the primary hits states that accurately represent the population.

[Cha]

38. Here's to Joe Biden and

the Diversity of our Country!

Thank you for the Diversity gif, quickesst!

[quickesst]

39. You're welcome Cha

[padah513]

14. From fourth place a week ago and fading fast

To narrowly ahead this week? Yeah, I'll take it.

[Cha]

20. Surged on NO Malarkey!

And Gov Tom Vilsack & SOS John Kerry!

[oasis]

18. Ain't no stopping Joe!

[beachbumbob]

28. I think the title is off, as Biden has surged in Iowa according to

polls over the past 2 months

[honest.abe]

29. Seems like Warren's bump was a real dud.

Not surprised however. I like Liz and most of her ideas but I just dont see her as our best candidate. She doesnt really have much spark or charisma and has minimal appeal to minority voters. Her support seems to be narrow and doesnt play well in many parts of the country. I think her numbers now are more in line with reality.