Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumthe following candidates got zero votes in the new Suffolk Poll (B+ Rated)
https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2019/8_28_2019_marginals_pdftxt.pdfAmy Klobuchar (really surprising)
Steve Bullock
Bill de Blasio
John Delaney
Kirsten Gillibrand
Wayne Messam
Joe Sestak
Steyer and Gabbard got 1 each
results
In terms of 2nd choice, Pete only trails Warren overall in that category
finally, a really strange quirk in the Quinnipiac Poll (A- Rated)
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3638
Bennet (who is polling only 1% overall) is pulling 3% of the Black vote (that is tied for 4th most with Booker and more than all the other candidates left (after Biden, Warren, Harris, Booker and him) COMBINED (who only have 1%, Castro, all the rest are at ZERO)
no clue on that one, I will chalk it up to an anomaly (no disrespect intended to Bennet, I really like him a lot)
The other surprise is Castro with ZERO votes (almost as surprising as Klobuchar with zero in the other poll)
Warren is crushing Bernie with older voters (Biden still is tops there obviously at a massive 48%)
Warren is pulling 20% of the 65+ crowd, Bernie is at FOUR
Biden is polling at only 10% with the under 35yo's, with Bernie at 31% and Warren at 25%
huge age schism at both ends
only 9% undecided (Suffolk had more than double that at 18.4%)
results
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,982 posts)I think polls with more "undecideds" are more indicative of hard support, where fewer undecideds--meaning that the pollsters likely prompted someone for an answer even if they had only the mildest of preferences--may include more "softer" support in a candidate's numbers (i.e. people less likely to feel committed to that candidate, more open to switching to someone else).
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,286 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LincolnRossiter
(560 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,286 posts)Sanders and Harris (sort of the inverse of that Monmouth poll the other day, albeit more subtraction from the other top places, whilst the Monmouth also had subtraction from Biden (not reflected here), in addition to over-addition to those other top places) Also, like that Monmouth poll, the Suffolk poll is another smallish sample size as well.
In the Quinnipiac Poll, he would trail a combined 2nd and 3rd place (Warren and Sanders) by 2% and if you added in the 4th highest (so your mentioned 3 versus one), he trails by 9%.
He is at 32% in both polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LincolnRossiter
(560 posts)supporter. You don't have to do the math for me.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,286 posts)the new RCP rolling averages now
with these added in
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden