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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Celerity

(43,286 posts)
Wed Aug 28, 2019, 11:49 AM Aug 2019

the following candidates got zero votes in the new Suffolk Poll (B+ Rated)

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2019/8_28_2019_marginals_pdftxt.pdf

Amy Klobuchar (really surprising)
Steve Bullock
Bill de Blasio
John Delaney
Kirsten Gillibrand
Wayne Messam
Joe Sestak

Steyer and Gabbard got 1 each

results





In terms of 2nd choice, Pete only trails Warren overall in that category







finally, a really strange quirk in the Quinnipiac Poll (A- Rated)


https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3638

Bennet (who is polling only 1% overall) is pulling 3% of the Black vote (that is tied for 4th most with Booker and more than all the other candidates left (after Biden, Warren, Harris, Booker and him) COMBINED (who only have 1%, Castro, all the rest are at ZERO)
no clue on that one, I will chalk it up to an anomaly (no disrespect intended to Bennet, I really like him a lot)

The other surprise is Castro with ZERO votes (almost as surprising as Klobuchar with zero in the other poll)

Warren is crushing Bernie with older voters (Biden still is tops there obviously at a massive 48%)

Warren is pulling 20% of the 65+ crowd, Bernie is at FOUR

Biden is polling at only 10% with the under 35yo's, with Bernie at 31% and Warren at 25%

huge age schism at both ends

only 9% undecided (Suffolk had more than double that at 18.4%)

results





If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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the following candidates got zero votes in the new Suffolk Poll (B+ Rated) (Original Post) Celerity Aug 2019 OP
re: "only 9% undecided (Suffolk had more than double that at 18.4%)" thesquanderer Aug 2019 #1
that is a good point nt Celerity Aug 2019 #3
Biden with as much support as the next three combined... LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #2
in the Suffolk poll, yes, which seems to be a bit of an outlier in terms of the support for Warren Celerity Aug 2019 #4
I was referring to the Suffolk poll (the subject of the thread). And I'm just celebrating as a LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #5
it is all good Celerity Aug 2019 #6
 

thesquanderer

(11,982 posts)
1. re: "only 9% undecided (Suffolk had more than double that at 18.4%)"
Wed Aug 28, 2019, 11:58 AM
Aug 2019

I think polls with more "undecideds" are more indicative of hard support, where fewer undecideds--meaning that the pollsters likely prompted someone for an answer even if they had only the mildest of preferences--may include more "softer" support in a candidate's numbers (i.e. people less likely to feel committed to that candidate, more open to switching to someone else).

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Celerity

(43,286 posts)
3. that is a good point nt
Wed Aug 28, 2019, 12:20 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)
2. Biden with as much support as the next three combined...
Wed Aug 28, 2019, 12:11 PM
Aug 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Celerity

(43,286 posts)
4. in the Suffolk poll, yes, which seems to be a bit of an outlier in terms of the support for Warren
Wed Aug 28, 2019, 12:38 PM
Aug 2019

Sanders and Harris (sort of the inverse of that Monmouth poll the other day, albeit more subtraction from the other top places, whilst the Monmouth also had subtraction from Biden (not reflected here), in addition to over-addition to those other top places) Also, like that Monmouth poll, the Suffolk poll is another smallish sample size as well.

In the Quinnipiac Poll, he would trail a combined 2nd and 3rd place (Warren and Sanders) by 2% and if you added in the 4th highest (so your mentioned 3 versus one), he trails by 9%.

He is at 32% in both polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)
5. I was referring to the Suffolk poll (the subject of the thread). And I'm just celebrating as a
Wed Aug 28, 2019, 12:45 PM
Aug 2019

supporter. You don't have to do the math for me.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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