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NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
Wed Apr 10, 2013, 09:56 PM Apr 2013

2014 Democratic US Senate candidates likely to get elected.

1)NJ- Booker-D (strongly favored to win the Democratic nomination over Pallone-D,Holt-D,Oliver-D,and or Sweeney-D) strongly favored to defeat the likely Republican nominee by a double digit margin.
2)IA- Braley-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination over Culver-D) favored to defeat likely Republican nominee King-R by a high single/low double digit margin.
3)MI- Peters-D or Dingell-D (Democratic Primary between Peters-D and Dingell-D is going to be close). The winner in the Democratic primary defeats likely Republican nominee by a high single digit margin.
4)SD- Herseth-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination over Brendan Johnson-D). Faces an uphill battle against likely Republican nominee Rounds-R.
5)KY- Grimes-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination). Faces an uphill battle against Mitch McConnell-R.
6)GA- Barrow-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination). Race against likely Republican nominee Gingrey-R is a Tossup.

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2014 Democratic US Senate candidates likely to get elected. (Original Post) NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 OP
Franken is looking good right now dflprincess Apr 2013 #1
Franken(MN) is the incumbent- I am focused on the challengers. NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #2
So, a net gain of +1, maybe +2? Wednesdays Apr 2013 #3
Democrats will have a loss of 2 to 4 seats. NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #4

dflprincess

(28,075 posts)
1. Franken is looking good right now
Wed Apr 10, 2013, 10:09 PM
Apr 2013

There are several Republican names being tossed about (including Bachmann) but no one has announced they're running against him.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
2. Franken(MN) is the incumbent- I am focused on the challengers.
Wed Apr 10, 2013, 10:30 PM
Apr 2013

Regarding the Democratic incumbents who are vulnerable.
Udall(CO),Franken(MN) and Shaheen(NH) are favored to win re-election by a high single/low double digit margin.
Begich(AK),Landrieu(LA) and Hagan(NC) win by a high single digit margin.
Baucus(MT) defeats Stapleton or Edmunds-R but narrowly loses to Daines-R or Fox-R.
Pryor(AR) loses to Cotton-R but narrowly defeats Womack-R.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
4. Democrats will have a loss of 2 to 4 seats.
Thu Apr 11, 2013, 01:54 AM
Apr 2013

Republicans pick up WV(OPEN-Rockefeller-D) Capito-R is favored to win the Republican primary and the November General Election over the likely Democratic nominee and SD(OPEN-Johnson-D) Rounds-R is favored to win the Republican primary- against Noem-R and the November General Election against Herseth Sandlin-D or Brendan Johnson-D. Herseth-D will make it a race.
Republicans could pick up AR(Pryor-D) assuming Cotton-R enters the race and MT(Baucus-D) assuming Daines-D enters the race. Pryor-AR could go down against Womack-R while Baucus-MT could survive against Stapleton-R.
Democrats hold onto AK,IA,LA,MI,MN,and NC.
That leaves us GA(OPEN- Chambliss-R) Barrow-D candidacy will help Democrats defeat Gingrey-R or Broun-R. and KY- Grimes-D vs McConnell-R will be a Tossup.

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