2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2014 Democratic US Senate candidates likely to get elected.
1)NJ- Booker-D (strongly favored to win the Democratic nomination over Pallone-D,Holt-D,Oliver-D,and or Sweeney-D) strongly favored to defeat the likely Republican nominee by a double digit margin.
2)IA- Braley-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination over Culver-D) favored to defeat likely Republican nominee King-R by a high single/low double digit margin.
3)MI- Peters-D or Dingell-D (Democratic Primary between Peters-D and Dingell-D is going to be close). The winner in the Democratic primary defeats likely Republican nominee by a high single digit margin.
4)SD- Herseth-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination over Brendan Johnson-D). Faces an uphill battle against likely Republican nominee Rounds-R.
5)KY- Grimes-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination). Faces an uphill battle against Mitch McConnell-R.
6)GA- Barrow-D (favored to win the Democratic nomination). Race against likely Republican nominee Gingrey-R is a Tossup.
dflprincess
(28,075 posts)There are several Republican names being tossed about (including Bachmann) but no one has announced they're running against him.
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)Regarding the Democratic incumbents who are vulnerable.
Udall(CO),Franken(MN) and Shaheen(NH) are favored to win re-election by a high single/low double digit margin.
Begich(AK),Landrieu(LA) and Hagan(NC) win by a high single digit margin.
Baucus(MT) defeats Stapleton or Edmunds-R but narrowly loses to Daines-R or Fox-R.
Pryor(AR) loses to Cotton-R but narrowly defeats Womack-R.
Wednesdays
(17,337 posts)NPolitics1979
(613 posts)Republicans pick up WV(OPEN-Rockefeller-D) Capito-R is favored to win the Republican primary and the November General Election over the likely Democratic nominee and SD(OPEN-Johnson-D) Rounds-R is favored to win the Republican primary- against Noem-R and the November General Election against Herseth Sandlin-D or Brendan Johnson-D. Herseth-D will make it a race.
Republicans could pick up AR(Pryor-D) assuming Cotton-R enters the race and MT(Baucus-D) assuming Daines-D enters the race. Pryor-AR could go down against Womack-R while Baucus-MT could survive against Stapleton-R.
Democrats hold onto AK,IA,LA,MI,MN,and NC.
That leaves us GA(OPEN- Chambliss-R) Barrow-D candidacy will help Democrats defeat Gingrey-R or Broun-R. and KY- Grimes-D vs McConnell-R will be a Tossup.