2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2014 Governors Prediction
AL-Bentley-R
AK- Parnell-R
AZ- Republican Primary winner-R.
AR- Hutchinson-R
CA- Brown-D
CO- Hickenlooper-D
CT- Malloy-D
FL- Scott-R(if Crist-D does not run)
FL- Crist-D
GA-Deal-R
HI- Abercrombie-D
ID- Otter-R
IL- Rutherford-R(if Madigan-D does not run)
IL- Madigan-D
IA- Branstad-R
KS-Brownback-R
ME- LePage-R
MD- Democratic Primary winner-D
MA- Democratic Primary winner-D
MI- Schauer-D or Peters-D
MN- Dayton-D
NE- Republican Primary winner-R
NV- Sandoval-R
NH- Hassan-D
NM- Martinez-R
NY- Cuomo-D
OH- Kasich-R
OK- Fallin-R
OR- Kitzhaber-D
PA- Schwartz-D
RI- Democratic Primary winner-D
SC- Haley-R
SD- Daugard-R
TN- Halsam-R
TX- Perry-R
VT- Shumlin-D
WI- Walker-R
WY- Mead-R
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)NPolitics1979
(613 posts)In a two way matchup he loses.
Deep13
(39,154 posts)NPolitics1979
(613 posts)Deep13
(39,154 posts)Sadly, not the case.
will not win. He pissed off everyone of community credibility. The teachers, the police, the firemen, the ministers, the school bus drivers, the heads of all the Unions, the NAACP, the Red Cross, All Social workers, the workers for the railroads, the unemployed, the old people, the environmentalists, the small farmers, and the veterans. So I bet he does not get reelected. In fact I do not believe he could survive a recall as Walker did. Ohio is more united against him than Wisconsin was against Walker.
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)Deep13
(39,154 posts)He's the rep. for this district and for some reason the locals like the sun shines out his ass.
rucky
(35,211 posts)NY will go moderate R (corruption scandals)
TX will be closer than you think
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Florida hasn't elected a Democratic governor in 20 years. The state party is totally impotent. There are so few Democrats in high-ranking positions, that Democrats which do run are all but unknown. There is a chance the Dems could finally win back the Florida governorship if Charlie Crist runs, but even that's not a guarantee. Republicans will paint him as a sore loser and an opportunist for abandoning the Republican Party (which he should have done a long time ago!).
As for Texas, not a chance. Cracking 45% will be victory in itself. Now, 15-20 years from now it may be different, but right now, the Republicans could nominate an active Klan member in Texas and still win.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)I have that directly from someone who is deeply involved in state politics in Oregon. If he doesn't run there are several D candidates who could run. It is most likely a hold even if Kitzhaber doesn't run.