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NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 08:59 PM Apr 2013

2014 US Senate Election- Democratic Held US Senate Seats likely to flip.

By a double digit margin:
WV(OPEN-Rockefeller-D) Capito-R
By a high single digit margin:
SD(OPEN-Johnson-D) Rounds-R
By a narrow margin:
LA(Landrieu-D) Cassidy-R
AR(Pryor-D) Darr-R
Democrats narrowly win
AK(Begich-D)
NC(Hagan-D)
MT(Baucus-D)
Democrats win by a high single digit margin
MI(OPEN-Levin-D) Peters-D
IA(OPEN-Harkin-D) Braley-D
CO(Udall-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
Democrats win by a double digit margin.
MN(Franken-D)
NJ(OPEN-Lautenberg-D)Booker-D

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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2014 US Senate Election- Democratic Held US Senate Seats likely to flip. (Original Post) NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 OP
Your speculation, elleng Apr 2013 #1
Source and link? Capt.Rocky300 Apr 2013 #2
bullshit bowens43 Apr 2013 #3
Did you get that from the Free Republic riverbendviewgal Apr 2013 #4
I am making a conservative prediction. NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #5
I am not sure I agree but AR but I won't miss him. hrmjustin Apr 2013 #6
Are you expecting every so called vulnerable Democrat to survive. NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #9
What are you here on DU for....seems to me you here to discourage and put in doubt in all of us riverbendviewgal Apr 2013 #11
I expect they will be real races but time will tell the political enviorment that the election hrmjustin Apr 2013 #12
I think we can win all 4 (AK, LA, MT, NC) BlueDemKev Apr 2013 #16
2014 is the Republican Party's last chance of regaining control of the US Senate. NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #17
IL, PA, WI in 2016 BlueDemKev Apr 2013 #18
you are a republican right? riverbendviewgal Apr 2013 #8
I am a Democrat. NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #10
Teabaggers are running in WV (Capito will face a primary) and LA. Dawson Leery Apr 2013 #7
Democrats can only hold onto WV if Tennant-D runs. NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #13
WAY to early to be posting this shit. Zoeisright Apr 2013 #14
I was predicting that Franken is going to win by a double digit margin NPolitics1979 Apr 2013 #15

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
5. I am making a conservative prediction.
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 09:21 PM
Apr 2013

Democrats are going to lose the open seats in WV and SD.
One Vulnerable Democratic incumbent loses re-election.
AR(Pryor-D) State is over 60 percent Romney-R.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
9. Are you expecting every so called vulnerable Democrat to survive.
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 09:38 PM
Apr 2013

Begich-AK is a first term incumbent who narrowly won in 2008 against a scandal plagued incumbent but he is a better than expected candidate.
Landrieu-LA fate will be decided in the December Runoff. She never won her US Senate Races by more than 5 points. How formidable of a challenger is Cassidy-R?
Baucus-MT will be facing a 2nd tier challenger- Edmunds-R or Stapleton-R
Hagan-NC is another first term incumbent- who won in 2008 against a weak incumbent. Republicans will nominate a 2nd tier challenger.

riverbendviewgal

(4,252 posts)
11. What are you here on DU for....seems to me you here to discourage and put in doubt in all of us
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 09:41 PM
Apr 2013

I check your recent ops...all about the election adn all about the republicans winning.....


Who are you?????

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
12. I expect they will be real races but time will tell the political enviorment that the election
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 09:42 PM
Apr 2013

will be played in.

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
16. I think we can win all 4 (AK, LA, MT, NC)
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 10:45 PM
Apr 2013

If we can get our base out. The problem with these red-state Democrats is they have to walk a fine line between differentiating themselves from their right-wing opponents and not looking like they're overly pro-Obama.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
17. 2014 is the Republican Party's last chance of regaining control of the US Senate.
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 11:18 PM
Apr 2013

2016 Senate Election cycle- Republican incumbents in blue states Kirk-IL, Toomey-PA and Johnson-WI will lose re-election due to Hillary's coattails.
Republicans need to win WV,SD,AR,LA,AK,MT,NC and to a greater extent MI to regain control of the US Senate.
2016- Republicans goal is to narrowly defeat Hillary.
I am predicting that Democrats lose the open seats in WV and SD.
Democrats hold onto MI,NC,MT,AK,LA, and AR.

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
18. IL, PA, WI in 2016
Mon Apr 8, 2013, 10:51 AM
Apr 2013

That all depends on the political climate and if the Democrats can find decent candidates to run in those states. We never should have lost the IL Senate race in 2010, but we put up a poor candidate.

And we don't know yet if Hillary is running in 2016. Remember, she'll be 69 years old and there's no telling what, if any, health problems she may encounter between now and then.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
7. Teabaggers are running in WV (Capito will face a primary) and LA.
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 09:27 PM
Apr 2013

As long as the teakooks and their billionaire supporters are around, the GOP WILL thrown away winnable seats.

NPolitics1979

(613 posts)
13. Democrats can only hold onto WV if Tennant-D runs.
Sun Apr 7, 2013, 09:44 PM
Apr 2013

LA will be decided in the December Runoff. (Landrieu-D vs Cassidy-R) or (Landrieu-D vs Teabagger-R).
Democrats can also hang onto SD if Noem-R successfully defeats Rounds-R in the primary.

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