2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2014 US Senate Election- Democratic Held US Senate Seats likely to flip.
By a double digit margin:
WV(OPEN-Rockefeller-D) Capito-R
By a high single digit margin:
SD(OPEN-Johnson-D) Rounds-R
By a narrow margin:
LA(Landrieu-D) Cassidy-R
AR(Pryor-D) Darr-R
Democrats narrowly win
AK(Begich-D)
NC(Hagan-D)
MT(Baucus-D)
Democrats win by a high single digit margin
MI(OPEN-Levin-D) Peters-D
IA(OPEN-Harkin-D) Braley-D
CO(Udall-D)
NH(Shaheen-D)
Democrats win by a double digit margin.
MN(Franken-D)
NJ(OPEN-Lautenberg-D)Booker-D
elleng
(130,732 posts)or others?
Capt.Rocky300
(1,005 posts)bowens43
(16,064 posts)riverbendviewgal
(4,252 posts)it seems so republican....
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)Democrats are going to lose the open seats in WV and SD.
One Vulnerable Democratic incumbent loses re-election.
AR(Pryor-D) State is over 60 percent Romney-R.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)NPolitics1979
(613 posts)Begich-AK is a first term incumbent who narrowly won in 2008 against a scandal plagued incumbent but he is a better than expected candidate.
Landrieu-LA fate will be decided in the December Runoff. She never won her US Senate Races by more than 5 points. How formidable of a challenger is Cassidy-R?
Baucus-MT will be facing a 2nd tier challenger- Edmunds-R or Stapleton-R
Hagan-NC is another first term incumbent- who won in 2008 against a weak incumbent. Republicans will nominate a 2nd tier challenger.
riverbendviewgal
(4,252 posts)I check your recent ops...all about the election adn all about the republicans winning.....
Who are you?????
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)will be played in.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)If we can get our base out. The problem with these red-state Democrats is they have to walk a fine line between differentiating themselves from their right-wing opponents and not looking like they're overly pro-Obama.
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)2016 Senate Election cycle- Republican incumbents in blue states Kirk-IL, Toomey-PA and Johnson-WI will lose re-election due to Hillary's coattails.
Republicans need to win WV,SD,AR,LA,AK,MT,NC and to a greater extent MI to regain control of the US Senate.
2016- Republicans goal is to narrowly defeat Hillary.
I am predicting that Democrats lose the open seats in WV and SD.
Democrats hold onto MI,NC,MT,AK,LA, and AR.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)That all depends on the political climate and if the Democrats can find decent candidates to run in those states. We never should have lost the IL Senate race in 2010, but we put up a poor candidate.
And we don't know yet if Hillary is running in 2016. Remember, she'll be 69 years old and there's no telling what, if any, health problems she may encounter between now and then.
riverbendviewgal
(4,252 posts)I am so glad I live in Canada
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)As long as the teakooks and their billionaire supporters are around, the GOP WILL thrown away winnable seats.
NPolitics1979
(613 posts)LA will be decided in the December Runoff. (Landrieu-D vs Cassidy-R) or (Landrieu-D vs Teabagger-R).
Democrats can also hang onto SD if Noem-R successfully defeats Rounds-R in the primary.
Zoeisright
(8,339 posts)No way Franken is losing, BTW.