2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBe Afraid, GOP: Hillary Clinton Is Back and She Will Beat You in 2016 - By Robert Shrum
BETTER THAN EVERBe Afraid, GOP: Hillary Clinton Is Back and She Will Beat You in 2016
2 HOURS AGO - BY ROBERT SHRUM
And her return should strike fear in the hearts of Republicans everywhere. Robert Shrum on why Hillary will prevail in 2016.
She's back. And it seems like she never left at all.
After a pause to rest and rechargeand she apparently recharges swiftlyHillary Clinton reemerged to a rapturous welcome at the Vital Voices Global Leadership Awards last night, to be followed on Friday by a keynote speech at the Women in the World Summit sponsored by Newsweek and The Daily Beast. She came to the first event to pay tribute to Melanne Verveer, her former chief of staff, assistant secretary of State, and a pioneer of women's rights across the worldor as Clinton put it, one of "those amazing women who could not be denied."
The phrase aptly applies to her own prospects for 2016 as the amazing candidate who, if she chooses to run, almost certainly cannot be denied: the nomination or the presidency itself. Outside the Kennedy Center in Washington, the site of the Vital Voices event, a sign-waving crowd chanted: "Ready for Hillary." Almost simultaneously, a new political action committee was launched to promote her next race for the White Houseand it promptly attracted 60,000 Twitter and Facebook followers.
She is far ahead in polls of Democratic primary voters. Remarkably, in a general election match-up, she leads Jeb Bush by 9 percent and Marco Rubio by 11 in their home state of Floridaand perhaps most stunningly, a PPP survey finds her ahead of Rubio, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry in the incarnadined Lone Star State.
more
http://www.thedailybeast.com/witw/articles/2013/04/03/be-afraid-gop-hillary-clinton-is-back-and-she-will-beat-you-in-2016.html
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)If she runs the nomination is done. Challenging her in a primary would be pointless. I would be astounded if anyone, including Biden, even gave it a second thought... it's a no brainer. And as things stand right now the GOP has nobody who can come near going toe to toe with her.
It would take something hugely electorally damaging happening or her deciding not to run to derail her.
MADem
(135,425 posts)He ran for the Presidency as a young man, but he has said that his lifelong dream was to be....SECSTATE.
I can't see him standing in the way of history after the wonderful job he has done since the 08 contest helping to bend the arc of history towards who we are as a people.
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)...only because of the traditional "the VP runs next" angle.
But yes, I don't see him even considering trying to challenge her if she signals she's running. There may be some fringe challenges but nothing that has any serious weight.
MADem
(135,425 posts)He knew if he waited, and got more of a "record" for the GOP to pick apart, that he might miss his window of opportunity.
I think Biden is a "country first" kind of guy. I think he knows it's past time for a woman in the Presidency. Once that last barrier falls, all bets will be off. Maybe Congress will start looking more like "us" in this century....
Beacool
(30,247 posts)but he knows that he would not have a chance in 2016, even without Hillary in the race. He's already 70 years old and when he's ran in the past he only managed to get a handful of votes and dropped out early in the primary process.
MADem
(135,425 posts)"inside the bubble" flattery.
He is also a superb strategic thinker. We are fortunate that he was spared not once, but twice. He's the most famous AVM survivor in our country, I think.
Kahuna
(27,311 posts)There's a really comical piece on CNN by David Frum, titled; Hillary Clinton, a mistake for 2016. There's some good reading in the comments. The Dems are universally ridiculing Frum for his obvious attempt to scare us off. The repukes are basing their arguments on all of the old Clinton "scandals" from the 90s.
http://www.cnn.com/2013/04/01/opinion/frum-hillary-clinton-2016/index.html#comme
nt-850035041
BlueStater
(7,596 posts)She will be nominated, not coronated.
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)There is simply no Obama equivalent waiting in the wings this time around. You know it and I know it.
BlueStater
(7,596 posts)She'll be "coronated" if she runs.
You realize this attitude from her supporters isn't exactly endearing her to the rest of us? She CAN be defeated again and anyone who thinks otherwise could be in for a rude awakening.
gcomeau
(5,764 posts)Just to clarify that for you... it is the opposite of "no".
As in, you said she would be nominated, not coronated.. and I said YES, she would be.
Get it?
I don't think he would either, although he has repeatedly hinted he would.
Bigger question is who in their right mind would BACK him?
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)I personally support Hillary but if she does not run I will support Biden.
Skraxx
(2,970 posts)Bring it, Hil!
Beacool
(30,247 posts)There are people right here who are having conniption fits over a possible Hillary run.
Kahuna
(27,311 posts)from running and from winning if she does run.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Although I have yet to figure out why they assumed that Obama would be more progressive.
monmouth3
(3,871 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Strange bedfellows no more!
DFW
(54,345 posts)IF she wants the nomination, it's hers, and with it, the presidency.
At age 69, it's not an obvious move, but the ones who would be forced to shut their traps would be, after Reagan, the Republicans.
Even if she decides not to go for it, all she has to do is blow a kiss in her favorite candidate's direction and that candidate is halfway to the nomination before the first delegate is even selected.
antigop
(12,778 posts)msongs
(67,395 posts)I'm with ya, but can you really think of someone who could reasonably run? Make a short list and it isn't real encouraging.
Dean?
Sanders?
Ms Warren?
Gov. Brown?
Feingold?
Kucinich?
Feel free to add names, but I'd bet ya the picture doesn't get better.
Skittles
(153,147 posts)I absolutely detest Hillary's support of the Iraq war but OMG her presidency would be the ULTIMATE SNUB to repukes
juajen
(8,515 posts)in a bubble then of absolute horror that we had been attacked, and that we lost so many very brave people in America's city. Had she gone against this offensive, she would have been pilloried. She was NY's senator, after all. Hard to know how she really felt. That said, she is our very best bet for a female Presidency, and that, no one can deny. It doesn't hurt that she is "our" Hillary, and is beloved by many in this country as well as the world. I am always thrilled when conservative friends and relatives now speak of her with fondness. Not all, of course, but a surprising number.
She did an enormous favor to Obama when she accepted the Secretary of State position, putting the strength of the Clinton machine behind his Administration. True, he will easily repay that by supporting her in 2016. All in all, a step forward for minority rights, and for this country and the world.
Skittles
(153,147 posts)we knew Bush was full of shit - and so did she.....they voted for it because they considered their careers over the impact on the troops and AMERICA. Simply put, they jumped on the terror bandwagon. SHAME ON THEM ALL.
unfortunately short memories are just that - short.
until the next time.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)No one was trying to give Bush "carte blanche" and permission to start an unnecessary war. He was supposed to use that resolution as a last ditch effort. It was supposed to be a warning to Hussein that he should behave or else. Unfortunately, Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld didn't even wait for the ink to dry before they attacked Iraq. The mistake some Democrats made was in trusting that Bush, et al. would use restraint. I think that now they know better. For example, if N. Korea keeps pushing their luck and Obama proposes a similar resolution, I think that this time around very few Democrats would sign it. Now they know better.
2002 was 11 years ago, it's time to move on.
Skittles
(153,147 posts)and NO ONE trusted that "Bush, et al." would USE RESTRAINT - they just voted their careers over the interests of the troops and AMERICA. FUCK THEM ALL!!!
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)juajen
(8,515 posts)Splinter Cell
(703 posts)We went through this crap before, and the blind arrogance of Hillaryland cost her then and it will again. It's time to move on. If our party can't offer anything but the same old personal wars between the Clinton's and the Bush's, then we're as dried up as the GOP.
juajen
(8,515 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)We wanted a woman president, and not just any woman, we wanted Hillary. She was a much better candidate than her campaign. Half of the party didn't want Obama as their nominee and the other half did. Your half got their wish, now it's our turn.
There are also many people who think that she just is the best candidate for the job. It's as simple as that.
None of us have a clue whether she will choose to run or not, but the one thing that we are sure is that we will not allow it to end like in 2008. I think that after observing her work as SOS, the country is finally ready for her.
Whisp
(24,096 posts)oiy.
I hope the turn is for moving forward on what Obama has done, not go backwards to the Clinton ways.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)I don't know why some people think that he's a progressive. That's an illusion.
Whisp
(24,096 posts)wa-chaaaaaaaa!
UBEEDelusional
(54 posts)I don't care how vile the GOP candidate is, I won't vote for them either.
I cannot in good conscience support or vote for a third way, corporate, moderate or conservative Dem it is not good for the country, party or my values.
Yes I will still vote, even write in a name if I have too but only for liberals and progressives.
juajen
(8,515 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)If you did, enough said.
customerserviceguy
(25,183 posts)unless she gets severely embarrassed by something and decides not to run. It would take a very powerful Wikileak to do that.
The way I figure it, if the Rethugs couldn't figure out how to gin up enough anger to defeat Obama twice, they won't be able to manufacture enough Hillary-hate to go around either. Oh, she makes their blood boil, but so did he. They will just look like the sputtering fools that they were in 2008 and 2012.
Right now, there's a lot of distrust here for Hillary, and I understand it. However, when the choice comes down to her or Rand Paul, it will focus people enormously.
apnu
(8,755 posts)Trolling tea baggers and other loonies. Get some popcorn and enjoy the show.
hamsterjill
(15,220 posts)If Hillary runs, there is a 99.9% chance that I will support her. I think she's brilliant and I'd love to see a woman as POTUS.
But many things can happen between now and the time that the next President takes office.
juajen
(8,515 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)He always has said that she was smarter than he was.
Whisp
(24,096 posts)but a gaffmobile thinking on her feet in a surprise situation. That's not so good.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)You must be referring to Biden.
Whisp
(24,096 posts)hers are from panic because she can't think quick enough which of her truths to tell.
Beacool
(30,247 posts)Carolina
(6,960 posts)no thanks
haikugal
(6,476 posts)republican lite crap...I'll vote for a real liberal.
Kablooie
(18,625 posts)And it doesn't look good for the future right now.