2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLooking forward to the last 13 contests, which do you see Clinton winning?
Nebraska
Oregon
West Virginia
Kentucky
Virgin Islands
Puerto Rico
California
Montana
New Jersey
New Mexico
North Dakota
South Dakota
DC
I think she'll win DC, The Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. New Jersey allows independents to choose a D ballot, so I don't see her winning there.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)This is why Clinton and her minions have been pressuring Bernie Sanders to drop out.
They're worried. And they should be.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Sorry Hillarians, but the party is toast if she gets the nomination.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)is a devastating blow to Clinton.
It's highly likely that Bernie will win at least 7 of those states. Some of them by very large margins.
Bernie's wins will highlight the fact that Clinton is a horrendously weak candidate.
hack89
(39,171 posts)He was not a weak candidate
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Sanders is going to be strong in most of the remaining states, and make things close. No wonder the Hillarians are panicking.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)jayschool
(180 posts)Bernie already won the Nebraska caucus.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, and DC easily. New Jersey isn't going for Bernie, sorry. There was one poll last week that had her up by 30 points.
I wouldn't bet on it, but California could swing Bernie's way. The problem is that even if NJ and CA do, the best he can hope for are narrow wins, which don't help him one bit.
Clinton isn't scared, because her lead is so big that even losing every state left wouldn't be enough to stop her.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)whatthehey
(3,660 posts)She's been consistently well ahead in state polling in NJ and I expect nothing to change. Sanders I think is likely to take MT and possibly NM (although heavily Hispanic demo pulls against that)but that's based on more gut feel than polling. CA is closish but likely Clinton. Dakotas, who knows? SD may go Sanders, ND less likely in pure SWAG as I've seen data on neither.
LibDemAlways
(15,139 posts)conclusion at this point that all of those states should be safely in her pocket -- no contest or just token opposition?
That Bernie is winning primaries and drawing huge crowds at this stage of the game does not bode well for the establishment. The corporate media can ignore him all they want, but it's clear something important is going on. A sizable chunk of the electorate is not happy with the status quo candidate the Dems are determined to nominate.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)Sanders support may wane, or it might dig in.
Guess that's why we vote.
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)Likely Wins: KY, VI, PR, CA, NJ, DC
Likely Loses: NE, OR, WV, MT, ND, SD
Toss Ups: CA, NM
It's very possible that she could do worse than that, because she's not participating in the primaries 100%. She's moved on to the GE to a large extent, and there's no evidence that Bernie's supporters will abandon him as a "lost cause" in large numbers.
The final score is in doubt, but the outcome is not.
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)NJ might be close but anything + or - 5 points is a win for her.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)I doubt NM. The others are very possible. It doesn't look good for her if at best she will only win 4 more contests. Especially since those are at the very end and things can change before hand.
Tarc
(10,475 posts)New Jersey will go much like New York did, Kentucky will be hers in a blowout, and Clinton will win by at least 5 in California.
But she could lose every single one by 30 points and stil lcome out on top.
None of this really matters.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Demsrule86
(68,504 posts)It is like New York. Honestly though I don't care...he has lost by all measures and now this is irrelevant. Hillary won he later primaries too and she was way closer. We have proportional...he can not take enough delegates to win.