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grantcart

(53,061 posts)
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:21 PM Feb 2012

Latest MI polls 3 show Romney ahead and 2 show Santorum ahead

Can't be looking good for Romney. Polls tend to ask likely Republican voters and not take into account Dems and Inds that want to embarass Romney.



http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/02/27/mixed_polling_results_in_michigan.html

Though a Public Policy Polling survey released late last night showed Mitt Romney regaining the lead over Rick Santorum in the Michigan GOP primary, 39% to 37%, a new Mitchell Research/Rosetta Stone poll shows Santorum taking over the lead back from Romney, 37% to 35%.

A new We Ask America poll shows Romney ahead 37% to 33%.

A new American Research Group survey shows Santorum just ahead, 36% to 35%.

A new Rasmussen survey shows Romney leading, 38% to 36%.

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
1. cool. I'll be rooting for him tomorrow. There is nothing more satisfying
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:39 PM
Feb 2012

than seeing Romney lose. There's no telling what a win for Santorum will do...embolden him more
to say more and more crazy shit.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
2. Only problem is, as PPP noted, Romney does have a substantial lead among early voters
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:49 PM
Feb 2012

so Santorum would have to win pretty solidly in the actual voting tomorrow. This is where Romney's organization is helping. Santorum doesn't even have a campaign office in Michigan.

blue_onyx

(4,211 posts)
5. PPP
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 04:05 PM
Feb 2012

According to the PPP polling, Santorum is winning voters who will vote tomorrow. People who will vote tomorrow will make up a much larger percentage of the overall vote so this is good for Santorum. Regardless of who wins, it will be very close. I don't really care who the nominee is because I think both are weak candidates. I just want Romney to lose MI because it has been so annoying to listen to the "native son" nonsense for 5 years.


blue_onyx

(4,211 posts)
12. I'm sure some will
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 04:35 PM
Feb 2012

I don't know how many Dems will show up. I'm doubtful there will be a huge number of Dems. The PPP poll showed about 5% were Dems. Since it will probably be a close election, even a small number of Dems could effect the result.

Hippo_Tron

(25,453 posts)
14. Tampering with the other side's primary seldomly (if ever) works
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 08:15 PM
Feb 2012

There simply aren't that many die-hard politicos out there who will do it.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
6. unlike a closed primary or GE pollsters don't know who is going to vote
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 04:10 PM
Feb 2012

Just a few thosand Dem and Ind could tip it.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
4. actually the latest trends have been switching over to Romney
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:53 PM
Feb 2012

according to most polls in Michigan. After Santorum had his triple wins a couple of weeks ago, the Michigan polls indicated that Santorum had taken a 6 or 7 point lead. In the last week especially most of the polls have been closing in Romney's favor including PPP which went from a 6-point Santorum lead to a 2-point Romney lead.

Renew Deal

(81,803 posts)
7. Yes, but it seems like it turned around again
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 04:11 PM
Feb 2012

They were trending to Romney and are now trending back.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
13. wow, Santorum might just pull it off.
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 07:29 PM
Feb 2012

I wonder will happen if he does. It could get ugly for the Mitster.

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