Will the Michigan primary be the end of the Romney campaign? PPP Romney -15
edited to add that this LBN thread shows that ARG poll shows the exact same number as PPP
http://www.democraticunderground.com/101450921
Michigan is where Romney was born and raised and where his dad was Governor.
In 2008 it was
Romney 39%
McCain 30%
Huckabee 16%
Now PPP is projecting
Santorum 39%
Romney 24%
Ron Paul 24%
Newt Gingrich 11%
It confirms a larger trend that Romney is getting less support than he did 4 years ago and only appeared to be the front runner when there were more candidates running. As the field narrowed he stayed in place as others passed him by.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/
Rick Santorum's taken a large lead in Michigan's upcoming Republican primary. He's at 39% to 24% for Mitt Romney, 12% for Ron Paul, and 11% for Newt Gingrich.
Santorum's rise is attributable to two major factors: his own personal popularity (a stellar 67/23 favorability) and GOP voters increasingly souring on Gingrich. Santorum's becoming something closer and closer to a consensus conservative candidate as Gingrich bleeds support.
Santorum's winning an outright majority of the Tea Party vote with 53% to 22% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich. He comes close to one with Evangelicals as well at 48% to 20% for Romney and 12% for Gingrich. And he cracks the 50% line with voters identifying as 'very conservative' at 51% to 20% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich.
Santorum's benefiting from the open nature of Michigan's primary as well. He's only up by 12 points with actual Republican voters, but he has a 40-21 advantage with the Democrats and independents planning to vote that pushes his overall lead up to 15 points. Santorum is winning by a healthy margin in every region of the state except for Oakland County, where Romney has a 40-26 advantage, and the area around Lansing where Paul actually has an advantage at 30% to 27% for both Romney and Santorum.
PPP is also advising that when it comes to who will be a stronger candidate against Obama Santorum is outperforming Romney. So if Romney is losing the electability argument then what is he going to run on?
A loss in Michigan would be a huge disaster for Romney. I doubt that he would continue to get the huge checks he did before as the big pockets are going to start questioning the investment.
On Intrade Obama continues to run about 60% for Presidential election and Romney about 30%.
If Romney can't take Michigan where will his 'firewall' be?
The Republican primaries differ from the Democratic ones in many respects but one is very important, they give much more reward to their traditional base so that the South, for exampole, has a much larger power position than in the Democratic primaries.
Bad news keeps on rolling for ole Mitt Romney.
= new reply since forum marked as read
Maybe that's because he's so phoney? Inauthentic? An asshole? All the above? 
Yep. People were only there to see the Boss, Bill Clinton and other celebs.
Really he didn't connect to those people in WI a few days before the 04 election. The GOP, and the media said that too! 
Thanks for continuing to throw a Dem who's done nothing but give unwavering support to our President. But that is what we liberals do.
Guess people will never, ever forgive him for beating their favorites. Kinda like those that will never forgive Obama for beating Hillary.
And Senator Kerry is a man of integrity period. Something that the lowlife Romney will never, ever be.
