Intrade Update PBO 9/24 71; 9/25 73; 9/26 75; 9/27 77; 9/28 78

[grantcart]

Last edited Fri Sep 28, 2012, 09:18 AM - Edit history (14)

9/24 Now its 71 If you need a smile look at the curve.


Intrade continues to go to in favor of the President by big margins.


9/11 President 60 Romney 40



http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/



Keeps going up

Now Obama 60.2 Romney 32.6


In one week the President's spread has gone up 6 points.

Also whereever there has been a Republican primary the President's chances for winning the state has improved significantly.

Romney can say good bye to his 'home state' Hew Hampshire;

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/02/02/fav-obama_n_725997.html

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84326

Now

2/6/2012 Intrade Obama 58 Romney 36

Was

2/4/2012 Intrade Obama 57 Romney 38.6 Completely batshit crazy 4.4

Previous

1/29/2012 Intrade Obama 54.9 Romney 38.6 Completely batshit crazy 6.5

The President has moved from a 16.3 point spread to 18.4

[nofurylike]

1. yeah! thank you so much for posting that, grantcart! nt

[DevonRex]

2. I had never been on intrade before.

Thanks for the link. It's really interesting.

So, who do you think Romney would pick for VP? I can't decide. But I think Newt might pick Santorum since he could bring a battleground state to the table. And he might bring in some Catholics and fundies.

So, Romney would have to go to the South for a VP. I can't see Newt on Romney's ticket. Perry was too glaringly stupid. So, out of the candidates I'm thinking Ron Paul might have a shot. But what about that woman governor? Haley? Could Romney overcome his LDS upbringing and choose a woman?

[grantcart]

4. I don't think that Romney is going to be the nominee, he is just terrible on the campaign trail.

I think that it will go to a draft at the convention.

VPs could be either Daniels or McDonnel

[DevonRex]

5. He really is, isn't he?

Have the repubs done a brokered convention before? They're so good at falling in line behind their candidate.

[grantcart]

3. kick for the update

[grantcart]

6. kick for the update

[nofurylike]

7. kick for all to see this wonderful update! thank you so much, grantcart!! nt

[grantcart]

8. Now 25 points

[Tarheel_Dem]

9. What????

[grantcart]

10. Now 27.6 point spread

Obama 60.2
Romney 32.6

[grantcart]

11. kick it up

[nofurylike]

12. kick! thank you so much, grantcart! nt

[grantcart]

13. 9/11 kick

[grantcart]

14. Now over 63

[grantcart]

15. kick for 66

[grantcart]

16. kick for 71%

[grantcart]

17. kick