2020 US Senate Election- Democrats guide to 60 US Senate seats.- filibuster proof majority.

[nkpolitics1212]

Safe D
1/36)RI(Reed-D)
2/37)MA(Markey-D)
3/38)IL(Durbin-D)
4/39)DE(Coons-D)
5/40)NJ(Booker-D)
6/41)OR(Merkley-D)
7/42)VA(Warner-D)
8/43)NM(Lujan-D)
9/44)NH(Shaheen-D)
10/45)MN(Smith-D)
Likely D
11/46)MI(Peters-D)
12/47)AZ special(Kelly-D)
13/48)CO(Hickenlooper-D)
Lean D
14/49)ME(Gideon-D)
15/50)NC(Cunningham-D)
16/51)MT(Bullock-D)
Tilt D
17/52)IA(Greenfield-D)
18/53)GA special(Warnock-D)
19/54)KS(Bollier-D)
20/55)GA regular(Ossoff-D)
Tossup
21/56)TX(Hegar-D)
22/57)SC(Harrison-D)
23/58)KY(Booker-D)
24/59)AK(Gross-I/D)
25/60)MS(Espy-D)
Remaining 7
26/61)AL(Jones-D)
27/62)TN(Mackler-D)
28/63)WV(Swearengin-D)

[lastlib]

1. What is the difference between "Lean D" and "Tilt D"?

I thought Amy McGrath was the leading KY-D candidate? She was ahead of McTurdle in some polls, wasn't she?

[PoliticAverse]

2. Poll: Booker leads McGrath by 8 points in Kentucky Senate primary

Kentucky state Rep. Charles Booker is pulling ahead of former Marine combat pilot Amy McGrath in the state’s Democratic Senate primary, according to a new poll released Thursday by the progressive think tank Data for Progress.

The survey, conducted from June 13 to 15 by the online polling company Civiqs, found Booker leading McGrath 44 percent to 36 percent. It’s the latest sign that Booker is heading into the June 23 primary with significant momentum despite McGrath’s outsize fundraising advantage and longtime lead in the polls.

The Data for Progress-Civiqs poll also found McGrath’s favorability rating underwater. Of the 898 registered Kentucky voters surveyed, only 24 percent said they have a favorable view of the former fighter pilot, who launched her Senate campaign last year with the support of Democratic Senate leaders in Washington. Fifty-nine percent reported having an unfavorable opinion of McGrath, while 18 percent said they were unsure.

Fewer voters, meanwhile, said they have an opinion of Booker, with 38 percent unsure of how to view him. Still, 33 percent said they have a positive opinion of him compared to 29 percent who reported an unfavorable opinion.

Read the rest at: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/503379-poll-booker-leads-mcgrath-by-8-points-in-kentucky-senate-primary

[Zambero]

3. Civiqs is not a statistically valid poll

I get their email polls regularly. Participation is arbitrary. There's no way for them to have have an unbiased cross-section of potential voters. Republicans can vote in this type of primary poll intended to sample Democratic voters, and skew the results. I suspect this accounts for the high unfavorable numbers for McGrath.