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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsUnemployment soars to record highs in France and Spain after austerity measures (Krugman was right)
So the austerians said cutting government spending would reduce debt and improve confidence which would lead to a booming economy and falling unemployment.
Not so much:
Phillip Inman and Giles Tremlett in Madrid
Unemployment has soared to records in both France and Spain as the impact of government spending cuts and a collapse in consumer confidence forced employers to shed thousands of workers.
Spain's persistent rise in unemployment reached new heights over the first three month of this year, leaving a record 27% of the workforce jobless.
Spain now has 6.2 million unemployed after a 23-month run of falling employment figures, with the young and those living in the south of the country particularly hard hit as the economy continues to shrink.
Almost six out of every 10 people under the age of 25 who are not studying are now jobless, with the rate at 57%.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/apr/25/austerity-unemployment-spain-france-eurozone
Krugman was right:
On one side were economists and politicians who wanted to increase government spending to offset weakness in the private sector. This "stimulus" spending, economists like Paul Krugman argued, would help reduce unemployment and prop up economic growth until the private sector healed itself and began to spend again.
On the other side were economists and politicians who wanted to cut spending to reduce deficits and "restore confidence." Government stimulus, these folks argued, would only increase debt loads, which were already alarmingly high. If governments did not cut spending, countries would soon cross a deadly debt-to-GDP threshold, after which economic growth would be permanently impaired. The countries would also be beset by hyper-inflation, as bond investors suddenly freaked out and demanded higher interest rates. Once government spending was cut, this theory went, deficits would shrink and "confidence" would return.
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So the empirical evidence increasingly favored the Nobel-prize winning Paul Krugman and the other economists and politicians arguing that governments could continue to spend aggressively until economic health was restored.
And then, last week, a startling discovery obliterated one of the key premises upon which the whole austerity movement was based.
http://www.businessinsider.com/paul-krugman-is-right-2013-4
CTyankee
(63,892 posts)The tide has turned on this one. The handwriting is on the wall and, unfortunately, claiming real victims. This is not just an intellectual exercise, it's the moral consequences of economic policy.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)there are so many people suffering because of these policies.
It's madness.
closeupready
(29,503 posts)For the most part, Republicans and 3rd Way Dems do not care what works, and never did. They care about preserving what material possessions they have, at any cost. If that means they hire Congresses to lie about what measures they believe will lower unemployment - since those same measures will lower their taxes - then that's all you need to know.
In other words, he was right, but it won't change a damn thing. Austerity will continue to be sold to the American people, right along with discredited trickle-down.
CTyankee
(63,892 posts)and he has been at it for a long time. He talks about it all the time in his NYT column and in his daily blogs. He goes on TV and talks about it. He debated his "lesser" Joe Scarborough, who was shameless in his shiftiness in that debate.
You are right about the people who hire Congress to lie because that is the case. But Krugman is one who stands out there and calls them out on what they do. We should applaud him, not condemn him...
djean111
(14,255 posts)Krugman is right, he is proven right, but no one in Washington (or the world) cares - the object was always to pay less taxes, not create jobs. So - Krugman wins the battle for who is right, but he and all of us lost the war against inflicting austerity - because it was never about improving anything but the 1% bottom line.
CTyankee
(63,892 posts)and the truth to which you so rightly refer is revealed. It is just a matter of time until this has been revealed and then we will see...
closeupready
(29,503 posts)noiretextatique
(27,275 posts)the goal is to continue to loot wealth from the middle class for their tax cuts. that's the only reason for something as stupid as austerity. i'm not an economist, and even i know the austerity pimps are full of
HereSince1628
(36,063 posts)to save the world from lazy experts who bought into confirmational bias.
The IMF, Euro Banks, and major world economies MUST reverse course.
THE WORLD HAS BEEN HAD BY PEOPLE TOO LAZY TO CHECK THE DETAILS OF THEIR SPREADSHEETS!
That is NOT a reason to drive people into misery and death.
REVERSE ECONOMIC POLICY NOW!
Rex
(65,616 posts)and now look like a pair of Keystone Cops or better comparison Paper Pinkertons.
CTyankee
(63,892 posts)that R-R are wrong for a long time. We here at DU are just waking up to that. How easy then to say someone else didn't blow the whistle. Well, yes,they did and it wasn't just Dr. K. Plenty of others did too.
The fact that every one of the status quo lovers went along blindly and nobody checked their work, before it was decided on as rock solid and expected policy, makes me furious.
I think they omitted parts on purpose. I don't consider them researchers, but opportunists.
CTyankee
(63,892 posts)For one thing, he has been flogging this meme for a LONG time. He has done his own models and found something different and he has talked about them in his NYT column and in his NYT blogs. He is also all over TV with his appearances in support of his economic theories that denounce austerity.
What more do you want?
Rex
(65,616 posts)I WANT the M$M to stop pretending he is an enemy combatant, just because he is right. Hell I want him to be an anchor on a main station of the M$M along with others like Greg Palast.
CTyankee
(63,892 posts)There are other distinguished economists out there who are in complete agreement, but they are not as well known as he is. The MSM just fell in love with the PTB and their enablers in the academic economics world, and that was that.
PK has a great perch at Princeton. He's a Nobel Prize winner. He's happy doing Meet the Press and various other media stuff and his daily chirps via his blogs from the NYT, not to mention his OpEd pieces that appear regularly in the NYT. He goes all over the world on speaking engagements and has best selling books. What's not to love about his life?
reformist2
(9,841 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)They dont care about short term pain and disaster.. they are convinced that long term it will work. eg... the poor and sick will eventually die off and only the wealthy andh healthy will survive and then things will improve.
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)midnight
(26,624 posts)marmar posted an article that had this in it:A growing private sector and shrinking public one does not bode well for people who have little economic value
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1016&pid=61892
JEB
(4,748 posts)the race to the bottom, but the bottom is still the bottom. Sooner or later it will dawn on them how bad it's going to get.
riderinthestorm
(23,272 posts)So many people falling into despair (and even death) before this ship is turned around though (if it hasn't already hit the iceberg - fatally). The PTB don't care to do the right thing and reverse themselves before they've stolen everything they can...