My subjective, general-public judgment and hunch says 70-30

[2ndAmForComputers]

70 percent chance it was a domestic far right group, 30 percent it was a Islamic group. With a tiny chance it was something completely different, like a lone loon that somehow had the skill to pull this off. But it's highly improbable, in my subjective opinion.

And it's perfectly OK for me to voice the aforementioned subjective opinion. Deal with it.

[rucky]

1. I've held off on speculation, but what the hell.

My bet: One or two people with loose ties to a RW group. Group disavows them, etc. In other words, a repeat of OKC.

[Dawson Leery]

2. Right wing hate groups/media published the address of the Saudi who was questioned.

http://mediamatters.org/blog/2013/04/16/right-wing-media-sleuths-try-to-create-the-new/193652

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014456167

[2ndAmForComputers]

3. I hope you're not implying that OP is equivalent to THAT.

[Dawson Leery]

4. Certainly not.

Alex Jones and right wing hate media is acting suspicious.
They are trying too hard to deflect.
The actions of right wing hate media re-enforce the OP's view.

[dkf]

5. I was thinking it was an anti-government group...

But it was pointed out that this wasn't the typical government building target so now I'm thinking its a James Holmes/Adam Lanza type.

[ProgressiveProfessor]

7. The released data could go anywhere

but I am confident they have more that they are not releasing.

[2ndAmForComputers]

8. I HOPE they have more that they are not releasing!

[kestrel91316]

9. Well of course you do. Those two didn't even try to hide their identities or

leave the scene. Totally like Boston - eerily similar.


ANYTHING to try to avoid confronting the idea that RW terrorism is an increasing problem in this country.........

[dkf]

12. One of the reasons I'm against aggressive gun control is because I think we would drive the right

to extremes.

So yes I immediately thought it was a sick protest against gun control.

But now I am not so sure because the marathon does seem an odd target when you could hit something more directly connected to the government and make a more obvious point.

We've often heard of these unhinged types with pipe bombs though. One just got prosecuted locally. If there is some sort of perverted body count contest out there, a marathon makes sense.

[FarPoint]

6. My money is on Domestic 100%.

One or two lone wolves....Teabagger, anti government liberal hater who wants everyone to feel like 911 is back....so we need our guns ....that type...Clues are shouting out at us...Liberal state, town....Patriots Day...Tax day in the home of the original Tea Party.

[hack89]

10. I am thinking a lone wolf individual, not a group

two simple bombs, nothing indicating the presence or need for more than one person.

Ideology could go either way - hard to tell when talking about the actions of an individual.

[rdharma]

11. Only 70%?

I'm not afraid to speculate. I'd put the chances at 100% that these terrorist bombings in Boston were perpetrated by a domestic far right group.

By "group" I mean probably less than three individuals involved. Most likely one or two.

[TimberValley]

14. So, about those "100%" odds of yours......

You may want to rethink that.

[rdharma]

15. Domestic, rightwing, white boys..... two of them.

So why should I "rethink" my post above?

[jberryhill]

13. I'm not seeing a lot of "skill" here

Run of the mill suicide jacket bombers achieve much more explosive power and casualties on a regular basis.

This looks like essentially two gunpowder pipe bombs (using a pressure cooker instead of a pipe) on either simple timers or remote. I'm thinking simple timers, since if they were manually detonated, then the sequencing made no sense.

It doesn't take a tremendous amount of skill to do that, and I would bet easily half of DU members have the minimal requisite knowledge to rig up something similar.

What it takes is the motivation to do so, and there is nothing like a big dollop of paranoid nutjobbery of one sort or another to get someone motivated.

It could be some nut that did it just because he could. IMHO the potential nut factor is large.