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ailsagirl

(22,885 posts)
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 10:58 AM Aug 2020

Why trump can't just refuse to leave office - encouraging

Last edited Wed Aug 19, 2020, 03:19 PM - Edit history (1)

Trump Can't Just Refuse to Leave Office
We have a lot of things to worry about in the next eight months. This isn’t one of them.

SLATE
By Fred Kaplan
June 1, 2020

The fear is spreading that if President Donald Trump loses the election this November, he’ll refuse to leave office. Bill Maher has been warning of this specter on his HBO show, Real Time, since late last year. This past weekend, New York Times columnist Roger Cohen called Trump’s compliance with the election results “the most critical question for American democracy” and wrote that the “chances are growing” that Trump would not concede if Joe Biden won. Biden himself has raised the possibility on a few occasions.

If Trump could get away with refusing to leave the Oval Office, in order “to extend his autocratic power,” as Cohen put it, he probably would. But he wouldn’t get away with it; those around him would almost certainly advise him against it, if he asked; therefore my guess is, he won’t try. Then again, in recent years many things have happened that I would have bet against. Let’s say the nightmare happens. Here is why it won’t last long.

So it’s the morning of Jan. 20, 2021. Trump doesn’t meet President-elect Joe Biden and his wife in the White House driveway, nor does he attend the inauguration on Capitol Hill. Instead, he proclaims, as he has many times by this point, that the election was a fraud (he has set the stage for this with his false claims about mail-in ballots), and at noon, instead of acceding to the transfer of power, Trump proclaims that the swearing in was FAKE NEWS and that he remains the president.

Here is what would happen next.

On the dot of noon, the nuclear codes, which currently allow Trump to order and authenticate a nuclear attack, expire. The officer who has been following him around everywhere with the “football”—which, contrary to popular belief, is not a button or a palm print but rather a book filled with various launch codes—leaves. If Trump and whatever lackeys stay with him prevent the officer from leaving, another officer, holding a backup football, would join Biden at the inauguration ceremony.

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/06/trump-election-refusal-leave.html


(I needed to edit this post to comply with DU's copyright policy, in case you wondered why it has been modified.)


119 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Why trump can't just refuse to leave office - encouraging (Original Post) ailsagirl Aug 2020 OP
Al Gore just laughed at the concern trump wouldn't leave, saying he'd have no choice. Hoyt Aug 2020 #1
That's reassuring too. Mike 03 Aug 2020 #5
we should maybe start listening to people who know sh*t stopdiggin Aug 2020 #112
Yep, the Pig won't succeed but he will be trying. Thomas Hurt Aug 2020 #2
I hope he tries. It will be the shit cherry on top of his shit sundae. Grokenstein Aug 2020 #101
Your number is wrong. AZ8theist Aug 2020 #102
Please, Mr. Trump. Try to hold on to the presidency past your expiration date. When it is NCjack Aug 2020 #106
Like Julian Assange being carried out of the Ecuadorian embassy. nt tblue37 Aug 2020 #107
Aside from the M1 tanks rolling down Penn Avenue, all that is plausible... Wounded Bear Aug 2020 #3
All those militia tough guys would shit their pants if they saw Aristus Aug 2020 #15
Does the military have belt fed 50 cal rubber bullets? We might need them. KS Toronado Aug 2020 #41
No, they do not jmowreader Aug 2020 #62
Better yet, two crop dusters... SergeStorms Aug 2020 #105
I'd Use Perfume... smb Aug 2020 #115
I'm not the least bit worried about Trump not leaving..but that's not how it would happen fescuerescue Aug 2020 #4
Yes, I remember in the late 90s when whack jobs like Mike 03 Aug 2020 #6
Millions will be killed? sweetloukillbot Aug 2020 #7
You don't think that a civil war would be triggered? fescuerescue Aug 2020 #11
Fun fact, the United States isn't Iraq sweetloukillbot Aug 2020 #19
Correct. We are special fescuerescue Aug 2020 #36
+1, people don't think crap stinks !! What the hell uponit7771 Aug 2020 #52
I call this a 'the sky is falling post'...and Trump will leave office should he lose... Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #54
I fervently hope so! ailsagirl Aug 2020 #93
+1 Nobody "Knows" what will happen - Trump should not be president now, but he is Tiger8 Aug 2020 #119
no obamanut2012 Aug 2020 #38
... like 175,000 killed? Or is that a hoax or not Trumps fault? At what point are people going to uponit7771 Aug 2020 #50
Agreed... NeoGreen Aug 2020 #10
With all due respect, I think your post is completely ridiculous. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #25
Ever read about a coup that wasn't ridiculous? fescuerescue Aug 2020 #33
It may not be orderly but should Trump lose, he will leave...and I don't see a civil war happening. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #55
I read you mahina Aug 2020 #99
We're at Nam x 3 how is Trump killing millions more people ridiculous ? Thx in advance uponit7771 Aug 2020 #51
THIS!!! ☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾 We're Nam x 3 dead cause of CV19 Trump could give a fuck about killing 100,000 uponit7771 Aug 2020 #49
People on both sides might fear it Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2020 #72
*January, 2025 Totally Tunsie Aug 2020 #84
this is basically a strawman argument. unblock Aug 2020 #8
Close zipplewrath Aug 2020 #13
Right. The scenario I worry about is the 1876 Tilden-Hayes mess unblock Aug 2020 #24
A most significant event in American history Marcuse Aug 2020 #32
Please...he will go quietly or otherwise, he will have no choice. So let's make sure he loses Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #27
...Yes, You got it, and he WILL LOSE IN DOUBLE DIGITS..why? Totally Incomeptent ,Totally insensitive Stuart G Aug 2020 #63
I think it will be a landslide. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #77
I agree totally. "LANDSLIDE" ..because everyone has had a chance to see his lies, incompetence, and Stuart G Aug 2020 #86
This fescuerescue Aug 2020 #45
Yes, this. Neema Aug 2020 #118
Well, first off, he won't be waiting til Jan 2021 to make his move intrepidity Aug 2020 #9
My first thought as well. Why would he wait until Jan 20? I'm more worried about 11/4. flibbitygiblets Aug 2020 #18
I imagine a slightly different scenario for how Trump would try to stay in office Yavin4 Aug 2020 #12
And none of that matters as on January 21st , Trump ceases to be president. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #23
Jan. 21st can not happen without the electors certifying the results. Yavin4 Aug 2020 #34
Nope, Trump's term ends on January 21st...electors or not. Nancy would be president. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #59
Nope, doesn't matter -- he is out and the Speaker of the House is in obamanut2012 Aug 2020 #116
I would be surprised AC_Mem Aug 2020 #14
I still think if he loses he resigns a day before the Inauguration so Pence can pardon him TeamPooka Aug 2020 #31
Of all these unlikely things. This is the most likely fescuerescue Aug 2020 #46
Pence could pardon all the federal crimes he wants... TommyCelt Aug 2020 #75
and Trump will take the pardons he can get... before he flees the country. TeamPooka Aug 2020 #85
Exactly AC_Mem Aug 2020 #88
Well, if all else fails, frogmarch Aug 2020 #16
Who certifies the election results?... SidDithers Aug 2020 #17
But wouldn't it be Pelosi, if no candidate could be certified? catrose Aug 2020 #110
It would be interesting to add criminal trespass and... NNadir Aug 2020 #20
He Won't Take A Loss Graciously colsohlibgal Aug 2020 #21
I wish he would flee!! ailsagirl Aug 2020 #37
I have had the 'flee' thought for over a year. alittlelark Aug 2020 #43
Thank you for this...I have long thought this to be the case. If we win strongly, Trump Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #22
This totally makes sense. honest.abe Aug 2020 #26
That is the most important part. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #28
I LIKE the sound of that! ailsagirl Aug 2020 #40
Yeah, but that's just the reality of the situation world wide wally Aug 2020 #29
The Secret Service will throw him in his chopper and fly him away. TeamPooka Aug 2020 #30
here's a scenario that is more worrisome to me mnmoderatedem Aug 2020 #35
doesn't work that way...he would not have the numbers and Nancy becomes president. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #60
Pelosi is unlikely to become president, even in this scenario. If no candidate receives majority tritsofme Aug 2020 #109
Doesn't work that way. Sympthsical Aug 2020 #78
So the danger is in some states having no certified Electors GopherGal Aug 2020 #89
In theory, yes. But it's unlikely. Sympthsical Aug 2020 #91
It amazes me how many folks haven't read the Constitution. CaptainTruth Aug 2020 #39
In a straitjacket... ailsagirl Aug 2020 #44
Thank you, Captain Truth Larissa Aug 2020 #70
And I wonder how comfy tRUMP is going to feel about slipping out the back door... WyattKansas Aug 2020 #97
I'm envisioning a Hansel & Gretel-like trail of Big Macs GopherGal Aug 2020 #98
If we take the Senate, on inauguration day Mitch McConnell will already be the minority leader.... EarnestPutz Aug 2020 #42
As someone here said wryter2000 Aug 2020 #47
The presumption here, from some commenters, is that if the election were disputed generalbetrayus Aug 2020 #48
Yes she would. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #61
Get us to the place. bucolic_frolic Aug 2020 #53
I want Moscow Mitch GONE not just relegated to minority leader. OMGWTF Aug 2020 #56
He is begging for a debate...that probably means he is in trouble. Demsrule86 Aug 2020 #64
I really hope this is the case. Operaweeble Aug 2020 #57
This isn't one of them malaise Aug 2020 #58
You are totally correct..The system will not allow this..That includes the Republican leadership Stuart G Aug 2020 #66
He has no dignity to lose malaise Aug 2020 #69
I'm guessing that he boycotts the inauguration and flies off early to Mar-a-Largo. EarnestPutz Aug 2020 #71
I still believe that he could pull out before the elections malaise Aug 2020 #74
If he pulls this nonsense, all I ask is to be able to see him walked out in handcuffs Vivienne235729 Aug 2020 #65
It's not so much the military that concerns me as it is ego_nation Aug 2020 #67
This is what concerns me as well. smirkymonkey Aug 2020 #82
Cut off his food supply except for tofu and bean sprouts jumptheshadow Aug 2020 #68
but.... paul91046 Aug 2020 #73
The military will push back if a nuclear order seems random (no actual threat to the U.S.). chowder66 Aug 2020 #108
"The terms of the President and Vice President shall end at noon on the 20th day of January" not_the_one Aug 2020 #76
Thanks, slate.com, for giving trump weeks and weeks to end around this scenario. Paladin Aug 2020 #79
I want him trussed up and rolled out on a refrigerator dolly Warpy Aug 2020 #80
I think when he loses, he'll try to claim it was mail-in ballot fraud (of course, we all see that). C Moon Aug 2020 #81
Russia, etc. will not want him Duppers Aug 2020 #113
True enough but my concern is what happens between Nov 4th and January 20, 2021 jimlup Aug 2020 #83
Bookmarked! Mahlalo, ailsagirl! It does make Cha Aug 2020 #87
I'm glad to know that this possibility has crossed many people's minds ailsagirl Aug 2020 #92
Exactly. Due to Traitor-trump's Big Ugly Cha Aug 2020 #94
Damn right!!!!! ailsagirl Aug 2020 #95
That's not the problem I see. I see the russians making the election another 2000 election fiasco BComplex Aug 2020 #90
I don't think that accurately reflects what people are worried about DrToast Aug 2020 #96
Who else would stay? no_hypocrisy Aug 2020 #100
I am worried about what Orange Julius will do on November 4. muntrv Aug 2020 #103
He wouldnt wait till Jan. 20. He would not concede and would challenge results long before that. Amaryllis Aug 2020 #104
The existing launch codes would become invalid at the moment Biden takes the oath LastLiberal in PalmSprings Aug 2020 #111
hit shit in the white house will already moved out + there are tasers. or harpoons. pansypoo53219 Aug 2020 #114
THIS IS NOT THE CONCERN Cosmocat Aug 2020 #117
 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
1. Al Gore just laughed at the concern trump wouldn't leave, saying he'd have no choice.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:02 AM
Aug 2020

I think it was on CNN, maybe Sunday.

I'm with him. Just another "concern" that might cause some to question whether they should bother to vote.

Grokenstein

(5,721 posts)
101. I hope he tries. It will be the shit cherry on top of his shit sundae.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 09:08 PM
Aug 2020

Imagine him screaming and wailing as two FBI agents, one on each arm, drag him out of the White House and into a white van.

Why, it might push his support all the way down to 23%.

NCjack

(10,279 posts)
106. Please, Mr. Trump. Try to hold on to the presidency past your expiration date. When it is
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:11 PM
Aug 2020

all over, you will be arrested for sedition, brought to trial, and convicted.

Wounded Bear

(58,584 posts)
3. Aside from the M1 tanks rolling down Penn Avenue, all that is plausible...
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:06 AM
Aug 2020

A few Bradley AFVs would suffice, and would do less damage to the road surface.

Aristus

(66,275 posts)
15. All those militia tough guys would shit their pants if they saw
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:24 AM
Aug 2020

Bradleys coming down the street at them, which would no doubt hinder them when running away.

jmowreader

(50,528 posts)
62. No, they do not
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:52 PM
Aug 2020

My recommendation is a crop duster with a tank full of CS powder.

If that doesn't work, the Old Guard should have a few mortars.

SergeStorms

(19,148 posts)
105. Better yet, two crop dusters...
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 10:31 PM
Aug 2020

the first one dispensing powdered soap, the second.......... water! Wash the dirt off those stanky clowns and their mystique takes a big hit, not to mention their pride.

fescuerescue

(4,448 posts)
4. I'm not the least bit worried about Trump not leaving..but that's not how it would happen
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:07 AM
Aug 2020

This worry comes up every 4 years. Every 4 years and it's annoying. Each side demonizing the other and expects the other to do terrible things when/if they lose. Last 2 times it was the Republicans being scared about it (rolling my eyes).

HOWEVER:

If such a thing happened. It would not be this orderly clinical legal procedure. It would be a coup. Coups are bloody. People change loyalty in coups. People are SHOCKED at how and how changes their loyalty and how laws are ignored. People DIE and the rightful leaders and the chain of successors are in extreme danger or are murdered at the start of the coup.

Truly it would be the end of our prosperity and the first day of becoming the newest 3rd world country. Before it was over millions upon millions would be dead.

I'm not concerned. Trump will leave in January (or worst case January 2024). But if he refuses. It's going to be the worst day of our lives for all Americans. Not Just Democrats. All of us.

Mike 03

(16,616 posts)
6. Yes, I remember in the late 90s when whack jobs like
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:12 AM
Aug 2020

anti-Trump conspiracy theorist Larry Nichols was peddling the "Bill Clinton won't leave office" stuff. Martial law, black helicopters, internment camps.

Still, Trump is such an outlier. I've never heard a president in my lifetime say he might have "three terms" because he was investigated during the first term, or promote the idea that the election would be fraudulent and "rigged", or try to incite violence from his followers.

fescuerescue

(4,448 posts)
11. You don't think that a civil war would be triggered?
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:19 AM
Aug 2020

If a coup occurred at the Presidential level?

Essentially I said that such a thing WILL NOT happen. But if it did it would be horrible. If Trump's followers did something horrible to Biden and Kamala, Portland would look like a fistfight.

For fun. Do some searches on when other countries have had a coup or attempted coup at the Presidential/Monarch/Dictator level and see how it turned out for the people of that country.

Heck look at how Iraq turned out when the US removed Hussein.

sweetloukillbot

(10,962 posts)
19. Fun fact, the United States isn't Iraq
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:30 AM
Aug 2020

And as awful as Trump is, he's not Hussein.

But keep up your fantasies that Trump's loss will trigger a Civil War and millions will be killed.

Because that's SURE to motivate people to vote.

Vote for Biden, you'll be killed!

Jesus Christ...

fescuerescue

(4,448 posts)
36. Correct. We are special
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:21 PM
Aug 2020

We would never let a madman run our country.

Anyway don't mischaracterize what i wrote as a fantasy. Nor mischaracterize it as simply Trump losing. That's Bullshit man.

I'm talking about the case of where TRUMP attempts seizes power away from Biden in the form of a 2nd term AFTER trumps loses the election fair and square. That is clearly written in the post.

This is what will happen: Biden will win. Trump will return to NYC (or maybe Florida whatever). That's the 99.99% case.

What I wrote and what you didn't catch onto is that IF trump tried to takeover the Biden administration, it wouldn't be something that is handled like a speeding ticket as the article insinuates.

way to twist my words dude.


Demsrule86

(68,455 posts)
54. I call this a 'the sky is falling post'...and Trump will leave office should he lose...
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:44 PM
Aug 2020

one way or the other. Trump has a minority of support.

 

Tiger8

(432 posts)
119. +1 Nobody "Knows" what will happen - Trump should not be president now, but he is
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 10:14 AM
Aug 2020

Playing out "what will happen" scenarios are incredibly naive because they can't accurately predict opponents, which is the only reason why Trump is still in office.

Team Trump (and team Putin) already know every move in that article is a dead end, and crossed it off the list months or years ago. Psychopaths, in the tradition of Stephen Miller, Roger Stone, and Steve Bannon are likely working on a very novel strategy to stay in power, with creative plans A, B and C that might not be dead ends.

Psychopathic brains are wired differently. They have absolutely no conscience. Subverting democracy and stealing control of the most powerful country in the world is a huge ego trip - and the road to incredible wealth and domination, including power to legally ruin lives, spread terror and kill people.


uponit7771

(90,301 posts)
50. ... like 175,000 killed? Or is that a hoax or not Trumps fault? At what point are people going to
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:37 PM
Aug 2020

... STOP giving Trump the benefit of the doubt on ANYTHING ?!!?!

NeoGreen

(4,031 posts)
10. Agreed...
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:18 AM
Aug 2020

...and I foresee the wacko militias start their gathering in late Nov/Dec as a big Harley rally.

Demsrule86

(68,455 posts)
25. With all due respect, I think your post is completely ridiculous.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:52 AM
Aug 2020

Trump will cease being president in January 2021...unless he wins the election which I view as unlikely.

fescuerescue

(4,448 posts)
33. Ever read about a coup that wasn't ridiculous?
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:14 PM
Aug 2020

That didn't harm masses of people? Ever read of a case in history where a national leader refused to stop down and it was all settled with an arrest or some lawyers writing clever prose?

These things only happen when people stop respecting the rule of law, when the leader is so terrible that people stop respecting the rule of law, or there is no rule of law.

Let's be clear: I don't expect any of that to happen.

Im just saying that if we go down that road, what happens will not proceed orderly and to a recipe (which includes what i wrote). But it will be bad for everyone on the planet.

Bottom line: I agree with you. He will be out in January 2021.

mahina

(17,612 posts)
99. I read you
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 08:11 PM
Aug 2020

I’m not afraid that he won’t leave for the record but I think it does merit mention that coups l are chaotic, inherently, and that it’s obvious he’s got a team of people coming out next steps who are aware of us. just take a look at the post office

uponit7771

(90,301 posts)
49. THIS!!! ☝🏾☝🏾☝🏾 We're Nam x 3 dead cause of CV19 Trump could give a fuck about killing 100,000
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:35 PM
Aug 2020

...of thousands more Americans to stay in office.

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,391 posts)
72. People on both sides might fear it
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:08 PM
Aug 2020

but no Democratic President has ever made any explicit (or even implicit) statements about trying to stay in power after their terms end and have always acceded to a peaceful transition of power. Trump has the dubious distinction of being the first President to talk about possibly refusing to leave.

unblock

(52,113 posts)
8. this is basically a strawman argument.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:14 AM
Aug 2020

some people may be expressing the concern poorly, giving the wrong impression, but the concern isn't really that everyone accepts that donnie lost the election, but then on january 20 he refuses to leave the oval office. i agree that's a very simple scenario. biden becomes president on january 20 at noon, no matter where he is, and all the powers of the office transfer in that moment. donnie can be removed by force if need be.

the most real concern is if he doesn't accept the fact that he lost, and that between legal challenges and media arguments and propaganda, he casts doubt over the legitimacy of the election. there's still no problem few people believe him. if it just looks like typical donnie whining and lying, but people accept the biden won, again, there's no problem.

but if a substantial number of people believe him and seriously doubt the election results, then we do have a potential problem.

then it depends on which institutions fall for it and what they do. if there's a supreme court case and they decide to declare donnie the winner, we're probably screwed, as we were when they inexplicably halted the florida recount when shrub was slightly ahead for obviously biased reasons. if the media goes along with it and constantly calls the election results "disputed, fraught with fraud allegations" and question its legitimacy, we're probably also screwed.


donnie has given every indication that he will not go quietly, and that he will claim that any election he loses is fraudulent and he won't accept it. the real concern is if he can create enough chaos around the election to make people think he might be right.



zipplewrath

(16,646 posts)
13. Close
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:23 AM
Aug 2020

I agree, it's not about he refusing to leave. It is about him sewing enough doubt and getting the governors of republican states to create just enough chaos to allow them to pull off a victory in the congress after challenging the EC results. They've already started and ultimately between the SC and various states, it is slightly conceivable that they could succeed. Even if they don't, it will undermine the next administrations "first 100 days" immensely.

unblock

(52,113 posts)
24. Right. The scenario I worry about is the 1876 Tilden-Hayes mess
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:52 AM
Aug 2020

That was resolved after much negotiation by ending reconstruction in the south, clearing the way for ninety years of Jim Crow, the kkk, and other forms of racial oppression

If he gets to negotiate, what will it cost us this time?

Demsrule86

(68,455 posts)
27. Please...he will go quietly or otherwise, he will have no choice. So let's make sure he loses
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:53 AM
Aug 2020

in the double digits by getting the vote out.

Stuart G

(38,410 posts)
63. ...Yes, You got it, and he WILL LOSE IN DOUBLE DIGITS..why? Totally Incomeptent ,Totally insensitive
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:52 PM
Aug 2020

....For those 2 reasons alone, Trump will lose by "double digits"

....If I am correct about those to traits of Trump...?? then he will lose by double digits.....But do other
people see those traits?....Well Trump does ....NOT HIDE THEM, DOES HE?

(and that does not include the ....TOTAL LIAR....does it?)

Stuart G

(38,410 posts)
86. I agree totally. "LANDSLIDE" ..because everyone has had a chance to see his lies, incompetence, and
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 04:23 PM
Aug 2020

stupidity as well as his insensitive nature....that is...Donald Trump seems to care only about himself. And it is as plain & clear as a blue sky at noon on a totally clear day (no clouds) with full sunshine.

Neema

(1,151 posts)
118. Yes, this.
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 10:09 AM
Aug 2020

I'm cautiously optimistic that voter hatred for trump will overwhelm all the Republican/Russian interference in the election. But the reality is there will be a LOT of interference. And what would be an overwhelming landslide if the election was fair, will look like a close election. trump will seize that opportunity to cast every kind of doubt imaginable in the results, with the help of McConnell and Russia of course. If Biden/Harris don't absolutely crush trump on November 3, the three months that follow will be an absolute shitshow.

intrepidity

(7,272 posts)
9. Well, first off, he won't be waiting til Jan 2021 to make his move
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:16 AM
Aug 2020

He's got a good full two months to set up whatever hellscape he decides upon. All manner of things can happen in that time.

It's naive to underestimate the hubris of one who knows no shame

flibbitygiblets

(7,220 posts)
18. My first thought as well. Why would he wait until Jan 20? I'm more worried about 11/4.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:30 AM
Aug 2020

Not to add to the paranoia, but it's foolish not to think through the possibilities. What if he declares war Germany? Or China? Or California? If Trump and Russia aren't able to steal this election, Putin will lose his asset. So the only thing left to do would be to sow as much chaos as possible until 1/20/21.

What would Putin like to see happen? I think THAT'S the question we should be thinking about, and what are we going to do about it?


Yavin4

(35,420 posts)
12. I imagine a slightly different scenario for how Trump would try to stay in office
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:20 AM
Aug 2020

Trump is not the kind of guy that would barricade himself in the Oval office and go out guns blazing. That would require a level of courage which clearly he does not have.

No. I see Trump challenging the election results in various courts. Delay state certifications and the selection of electors to the electoral college. IOW, gum up the works in the courts starting the day after election day which stops the entire process from moving forward. Fatigue the electoral and legal processes until it gives in to him. The closer the results, the stronger his case will be.

Yavin4

(35,420 posts)
34. Jan. 21st can not happen without the electors certifying the results.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:14 PM
Aug 2020

If the election is close, e.g. Biden wins by the same margins that Trump won in 2016, I see Trump challenging the results in the state courts which will stall the entire process.

obamanut2012

(26,041 posts)
116. Nope, doesn't matter -- he is out and the Speaker of the House is in
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 09:23 AM
Aug 2020

Which will almost positively be Nancy Pelosi.

The process grinding to a halt in court doesn't mean he is still President. He syops being President at noon on January 20.

AC_Mem

(1,979 posts)
14. I would be surprised
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:24 AM
Aug 2020

if he is even in the state on Inauguration Day. I think he will have long left the WH and will be holed up somewhere licking his wounds through twitter rants.

What we need to be careful of is that he does not try to leave the country before New York has a chance to "speak" to him about several items of interest....

I just don't see him leaving with any class - if he does it will be very surprising.

TeamPooka

(24,204 posts)
31. I still think if he loses he resigns a day before the Inauguration so Pence can pardon him
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:10 PM
Aug 2020

then Pence has to put on a brave face for the ceremonies.
Trump is intellectually and emotionally incapable of doing it.

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
17. Who certifies the election results?...
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:30 AM
Aug 2020

That's Congress, isn't it? Specifically, the Democratic House of Representatives?

My worry is that Republicans in Congress somehow try to fuck with the certification of the election results. If the results aren't certified, then maybe that calls into question who the legal President is on Jan 20 @ noon.

Sid

NNadir

(33,457 posts)
20. It would be interesting to add criminal trespass and...
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:32 AM
Aug 2020

...inciting insurrection to all the other charges he'll face.

colsohlibgal

(5,275 posts)
21. He Won't Take A Loss Graciously
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:34 AM
Aug 2020

What he does is a wild card. If he somehow sizes up something close to reality he may try to flee the Country.

ailsagirl

(22,885 posts)
37. I wish he would flee!!
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:22 PM
Aug 2020

What concerns me is what his followers might do-- all those yahoos who think he's the best prez ever. They're not going to take defeat sitting down. They're loonies and loonies can be frightening if they're angry enough. And they're also fanatics. I'll stop there.

alittlelark

(18,888 posts)
43. I have had the 'flee' thought for over a year.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:27 PM
Aug 2020

Interesting that he is trying to get an in-person meeting with Putin in the very near future. Turkey is another viable option.

Demsrule86

(68,455 posts)
22. Thank you for this...I have long thought this to be the case. If we win strongly, Trump
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:47 AM
Aug 2020

will go as he has no choice.

honest.abe

(8,610 posts)
26. This totally makes sense.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 11:52 AM
Aug 2020

It could get a bit ugly but in the end he is out. There is no option for extending his term.

mnmoderatedem

(3,721 posts)
35. here's a scenario that is more worrisome to me
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:14 PM
Aug 2020

republican legislators refuse to certify election results in swing states where Biden won, because trump sez the election wuz rigged because of mail in ballots and other such bullshit. Therefore trump is still president.

That could get messy.

tritsofme

(17,367 posts)
109. Pelosi is unlikely to become president, even in this scenario. If no candidate receives majority
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 12:04 AM
Aug 2020

of electoral votes, contingent elections would happen in the House and Senate to choose the president and vice president respectively.

The biggest wrinkle being each state delegation casts a single vote in the House. If the House fails to select a president, the vice president selected by the Senate becomes acting president. Only if the Senate also failed to select a vice president by 1/20 could Pelosi become acting president.

Sympthsical

(9,029 posts)
78. Doesn't work that way.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:25 PM
Aug 2020

The electoral college will meet. The President is whoever gets a majority of the electoral votes cast.

If Republican states don’t have electors, it doesn’t matter. Biden merely needs a majority of who’s available.

GopherGal

(2,007 posts)
89. So the danger is in some states having no certified Electors
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 06:11 PM
Aug 2020

... and who gets to manipulate which states those are that have no certified Electors.
The meeting of the Electoral College could theoretically be held with the red states having their electors in place, but the blue states not having theirs in place (either because red-led governors/legislators dragged out certification or republican lawsuit challenges to elector certification in blue states).

Sympthsical

(9,029 posts)
91. In theory, yes. But it's unlikely.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 06:39 PM
Aug 2020

It’d end up in the Supreme Court, and Roberts hates Trump. The whole Florida mess in 2000 was specifically because they wanted the electors in place on time.

If a Republican government in a blue state attempted anything, it’d make the Women’s March look like a church picnic. It’s just not going to happen. Those politicians would rapidly find themselves out of jobs. They value their own skins more than they want to save Trump.

CaptainTruth

(6,572 posts)
39. It amazes me how many folks haven't read the Constitution.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:22 PM
Aug 2020

If Trump loses the election he becomes a private citizen on January 20 at noon. At that point he has no authority to command anyone to do anything. If he refuses to leave the White House, the Secret Service (who at that point will serve Joe Biden) will escort him off the grounds. Period.

Larissa

(788 posts)
70. Thank you, Captain Truth
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:06 PM
Aug 2020

When the clock strikes twelve noon, on January 20th Trump's chariot reverts to the orange pumpkin he rode in on. The fear that Trump can just declare himself president-for-life demonstrates what a number he's done on people's heads.

WyattKansas

(1,648 posts)
97. And I wonder how comfy tRUMP is going to feel about slipping out the back door...
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 07:34 PM
Aug 2020

When Secret Service is tasked with following him everywhere?

tRUMP's brain: My private plane will fly us to Russia. The squirrel in the wheel remains silent about Agent Mike staying with him at all times.

GopherGal

(2,007 posts)
98. I'm envisioning a Hansel & Gretel-like trail of Big Macs
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 07:35 PM
Aug 2020

to lure him out of the Oval.
Or maybe Ivanka will be the bait.

EarnestPutz

(2,115 posts)
42. If we take the Senate, on inauguration day Mitch McConnell will already be the minority leader....
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:27 PM
Aug 2020

....as the new Democratic Senate will have been sworn in more than two weeks earlier, on the third of January.

wryter2000

(46,023 posts)
47. As someone here said
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:33 PM
Aug 2020

Wait until he goes out to play golf, and change the locks.

Or, turn off power to the Oval Office. Turn off the phones. Turn off the wifi. Could we block the cell tower that serves the Oval Office? If he can't tweet, he'll be out of there within hours.

generalbetrayus

(507 posts)
48. The presumption here, from some commenters, is that if the election were disputed
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:35 PM
Aug 2020

up through January 20, 2021, then Trump would remain President. Is that true? (Legal scholars?) Wouldn't there in fact be a vacancy in the Presidency and Vice-Presidency? Under the normal order of Presidential succession, if there is a vacancy in the President's and Vice-President's offices, the Speaker of the House becomes acting President. If the election were still in dispute on January 20, would Nancy Pelosi become acting President?

malaise

(268,667 posts)
58. This isn't one of them
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 12:48 PM
Aug 2020

Been saying that for ages - the system is way bigger than this colossal asshole.
And even more asinine comment was the one from two days ago when he spewed some shit about doing over the elections if he doesn't like the results.
This fucking semi-literate who knows nothing about anything thinks he's bigger than the entire system. he will learn.

Stuart G

(38,410 posts)
66. You are totally correct..The system will not allow this..That includes the Republican leadership
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:01 PM
Aug 2020
and the Supreme Court.

.... Further, if he pulls any crap like described in the OP, then he will lose all
dignity that comes with being a "retired President of the U.S."...He will not be interviewed, or put on
talk shows. (except for FOX, and they might exclude him if he pulls this stunt)
...Also, he will not be paid huge amounts to speak at events.. (and we all know Trump loves money, and he will need more money with the possibility of a divorce ??) No..the system will not allow this, and neither will his family. Trump will go on a long vacation to "no where land" if the family finds out that he is going to do this.

malaise

(268,667 posts)
74. I still believe that he could pull out before the elections
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:14 PM
Aug 2020

With that ego losing to Biden will be worse than the prison cell awaiting him.

ego_nation

(123 posts)
67. It's not so much the military that concerns me as it is
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:02 PM
Aug 2020

his supporters. They will be the wild card, and Trump will have no qualms about putting out a call to action to them. He’s already alluded to it, and I think a great many of his supporters are ready to die on that hill. I’m not worried that they will win, but I am worried about the bloodshed that takes place in our streets over it. I think we’re all familiar enough with their rhetoric to know this isn’t a far-fetched scenario.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
82. This is what concerns me as well.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 02:06 PM
Aug 2020

That they will not accept a Trump loss, and we know that most of them are unhinged enough to kill over it.

jumptheshadow

(3,269 posts)
68. Cut off his food supply except for tofu and bean sprouts
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:03 PM
Aug 2020

No caffeine and no meds except for those that will sustain life.

Block all communications.

He'll come out voluntarily at some point with his teeth chattering.

paul91046

(11 posts)
73. but....
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:14 PM
Aug 2020

it's the time between november 3 and january 20 that should scare the shit out of everyone. SCARE THE SHIT OUT OF EVERONE. do you think he'll behave rationally? he'll still have the nuclear codes. gulp....

chowder66

(9,046 posts)
108. The military will push back if a nuclear order seems random (no actual threat to the U.S.).
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 12:01 AM
Aug 2020

They can deny illegal orders. They will look into it but they won't jump to launch and could completely ignore the order.

I think the concern would be more like Trump asking Putin over the phone to launch missiles at us if he loses and he declares emergency presidential powers.
I could be way off on this so I hope someone smarter than me will add to this or correct my thinking.

 

not_the_one

(2,227 posts)
76. "The terms of the President and Vice President shall end at noon on the 20th day of January"
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:21 PM
Aug 2020

Well, we ALL know that the word "shall" is nothing more than a suggestion (see tax returns), and can be completely ignored. It doesn't mean squat.

I suppose we will have to see if enough goons have been moved into military leadership control to say they agree. Or they could just say "meh".

Then the REAL cultural war will start. And there will be nothing "civil" about it.

Paladin

(28,243 posts)
79. Thanks, slate.com, for giving trump weeks and weeks to end around this scenario.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:28 PM
Aug 2020

You think trump and his psychotic base can't figure a way around this? If you do, you haven't been paying attention.

Warpy

(111,124 posts)
80. I want him trussed up and rolled out on a refrigerator dolly
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:33 PM
Aug 2020

with video from many angles. I want him deposited at the curb along with all his tacky possessions, Ivanka with her cell phone frantically calling moving companies before the skies open up.

Failing that, I want him rolled to a chopper and onto AF2, flown to Moscow, where he will be rolled down the emergency chute and onto the tarmac. The chute will be cut loose, the plane secured, and flown back to the US. Let Putin deal with him, he wanted him so badly.

Mostly, I just want him GONE. I can dream, though.

C Moon

(12,208 posts)
81. I think when he loses, he'll try to claim it was mail-in ballot fraud (of course, we all see that).
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 01:50 PM
Aug 2020

Immediately, Trump, Barr, McConnell, etc will start legal battles that will make the 2000 election look like a cakewalk.
After a while, when Trump sees there's no point, he'll disappear to Russia or a country that will refuse extradition.
If he stays, I do believe he'll end up in prison along with many others.

Duppers

(28,117 posts)
113. Russia, etc. will not want him
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 04:40 AM
Aug 2020

He will be of no use to them then and his assets will probably be frozen if he leaves for S. America, etc. because of various pending criminal trials.
My take anyway.

jimlup

(7,968 posts)
83. True enough but my concern is what happens between Nov 4th and January 20, 2021
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 02:07 PM
Aug 2020

That is where the dangers lie and remember that during this time Trump is the "Commander and Chief" and thus he welds power to disrupt. What could he disrupt that make the events on January 20th NO what as setup and described above.

That is the key question.

ailsagirl

(22,885 posts)
92. I'm glad to know that this possibility has crossed many people's minds
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 06:53 PM
Aug 2020

And that it is being taken very seriously.

Cha

(296,780 posts)
94. Exactly. Due to Traitor-trump's Big Ugly
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 06:58 PM
Aug 2020

mouth, that he can't keep shut.. we know he & his wrecking crew will do anything to stay in power. They're destroying Everything.

Our job Collectively is to Vote Biden & Harris IN!

BComplex

(8,017 posts)
90. That's not the problem I see. I see the russians making the election another 2000 election fiasco
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 06:17 PM
Aug 2020

where nobody knows what the right vote count is, and trump, via Bill Barr and Mitch McConnell start playing legal games that really mess up the ability of states to give a good tally. He will try to keep it in the courts forever, but especially handing it to the supreme court.

DrToast

(6,414 posts)
96. I don't think that accurately reflects what people are worried about
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 07:14 PM
Aug 2020

The concern is not that he won't leave, the concern is that he'll gin up some bullshit election fraud charges and fight the election results in court.

Now, whether or not that is likely is another story, but THAT is what people are concerned about. We know he can't just say, "I'm not leaving."

muntrv

(14,505 posts)
103. I am worried about what Orange Julius will do on November 4.
Wed Aug 19, 2020, 09:16 PM
Aug 2020

I see him filing lawsuits demanding recounts and trying to stop states from certifying the election for Biden.

111. The existing launch codes would become invalid at the moment Biden takes the oath
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 01:03 AM
Aug 2020

and the valid ones would be in the "football" in possession of a different officer standing near President Biden.

Whether or not Trump concedes is immaterial. If he loses, his stuff gets kicked to the curb if he doesn't leave the WH peacefully.

I do not expect him to attend Biden's inauguration. He'll just sit in front of a television and rage tweet, starting with "My crowd was the BIGGEST CROWD EVER!!!" His is pathetic.

I want to crowd fund a project to surround Mar-A-Lago with billboards with Trump's face and the word "LOSER!" displayed in huge letters. Also paint "A LOSER LIVES HERE" on the road in front of his club.

Cosmocat

(14,558 posts)
117. THIS IS NOT THE CONCERN
Thu Aug 20, 2020, 09:29 AM
Aug 2020

The concern if is the Rs back his play to rat fuck the results, to derail congressional approval, etc.

Of course if it gets to inauguration day he won't be able to live in the broom closet.

The concern is what happens in between election night and then.

If anyone thinks he will NOT spend two months desperately spinning around and wreaking havoc ...

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