House Democrat warns about 'inaccurate' polls: Trump voters 'fundamentally undercounted'

[RandySF]

Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin (Mich.), a first-term member who represents a district President Trump won by roughly 7 points in 2016, said that polls showing the president trailing former Vice President Joe Biden are “inaccurate.”

“I don’t believe it,” Slotkin told Politico Magazine when asked about recent polls showing Biden performing well in key swing states, such as Michigan. FiveThirtyEight currently has Biden nearly 10 points ahead of Trump in Slotkin’s state of Michigan.

The former CIA analyst said there are too many variables at play for a poll to accurately reflect what will happen in November.

“Listen, if anyone tells me they can accurately predict what major events are coming in the remainder of 2020, I’ll give them a thousand dollars,” Slotkin said. “I mean, this has been the year of black swans. … I don’t for one minute think this [presidential] race is safe in anyone’s column. I’ve been literally begging people to ignore those polls. They are a snapshot in time. And if 2020 has taught us anything, it’s that we have no idea what’s coming next.”

Slotkin, who was part of a wave of Democrats who won races in 2018, is considered one of the more vulnerable Democrats facing reelection this November. She was one of several swing district Democrats to face scrutiny from Republicans in her district over the House's impeachment vote.


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/506816-house-democrat-warns-about-inaccurate-polls-trump-voters-fundamentally

[elleng]

1. 'ignore those polls. They are a snapshot in time.

And if 2020 has taught us anything, it’s that we have no idea what’s coming next.”'

[BigmanPigman]

4. She could have said "2016" and made her point loud and clear.

I will not rest until Inauguration Day since tRump, Barr and GOPutin have A LOT more up their sleeves. Never underestimate your enemy...especially these particular enemies.

[Thekaspervote]

2. If it were just one poll, or poll average, or if betting markets were not fav to Biden

If there were now not at least a half dozen republican groups opposing dotard, If the republicans were not forming super pacs for Biden, if news organizations, veterans of all ages and ranks were not supporting Biden ...I might agree

Nuff said!!

[struggle4progress]

3. We should assume she might be right

[PSPS]

5. We all know that it will take at least 10% to overcome suppression/hacking/cheating/russia

Everyone has to vote, no matter what it takes.

[crimycarny]

6. Nope, not going to go down that road

Of neurotic handwringing. I’m tired of only thinking of “worst case scenarios”. With everything else going on: COVID, massive job loss, loss of life...I’m going to have to take the road of hope on this one (2020 election). Hope doesn’t mean naivety. You can be hopeful and work your ass off to get Biden elected at the same time. Or you can stay in a state of constant “flight or fight” which drains your energy.

I’m going with hope on this one. I need the positive energy so I can do all I can to help Biden win.

[UCmeNdc]

7. The bottom line is you still have to make sure your voters get registered and actually vote

The Democratic Party needs to check all of the voter registration rolls and make sure their voters are actually legally registered on them, then make sure registered Democratic voters know when, where, and how to vote.

[Mike 03]

8. We need to act "as if" this is true

It's like members of the Lincoln Project said on Thursday: so long as Trump is in office we can't for one second let down our guard. Some people work harder if they believe they're behind; others work harder if they believe they're ahead. Believe what you need to believe in order to continue to function at the highest level possible in an atmosphere of constant stress and anxiety. Either way, just work hard and vote.

Stay on the Republicans. Make them as stressed-out as we are.