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When will the new surge of corona cases hit? (Original Post) warrior1 May 2020 OP
3 weeks SoonerPride May 2020 #1
Could be a Mother's Day surge starting up very soon. tanyev May 2020 #2
Thanks warrior1 May 2020 #3
in June ananda May 2020 #4
It has tirebiter May 2020 #5
1500 new cases dweller May 2020 #7
THIS !!! uponit7771 May 2020 #16
tough to say....... Takket May 2020 #6
thanks for the info warrior1 May 2020 #9
I predict mid to late June. smirkymonkey May 2020 #8
Definitely by the Fourth of July PJMcK May 2020 #10
Judging from the live cams here, within three weeks. Midnight Writer May 2020 #11
Approximately, where do you live? (general region of the country or a state). nt Blue_true May 2020 #21
Northern California warrior1 May 2020 #24
Northern California is a relative term. Blue_true May 2020 #25
I'm not giving my actual location. warrior1 May 2020 #29
Once a person is out of San Francisco - Sonoma County in that part of California, Blue_true May 2020 #32
Central Illinois. Rural, White, Christian and Red. And older. Jobs are gone, young folk leave fast. Midnight Writer May 2020 #28
Alabama is already reporting ICU bed shortages peggysue2 May 2020 #12
Kick for visibility. love_katz May 2020 #13
10-12 days out. Wellstone ruled May 2020 #14
Texas may have been soared due to crappy weather JCMach1 May 2020 #18
This Virus thrives in Heat and Humidity. Wellstone ruled May 2020 #20
It survives in those conditions better than originally estimated by scientists, Blue_true May 2020 #22
Unstand that the closer to Wellstone ruled May 2020 #23
Really? I guess I learned something. All I read was lower temperature, low humidity was best for Blue_true May 2020 #27
The rain stopped many of the outdoor crowds JCMach1 May 2020 #26
It already started last week Drahthaardogs May 2020 #15
+1, it's harder to dispute the hospitalizations uponit7771 May 2020 #17
2-3 weeks, although we'll see smaller increases starting in a week or so. n/t Ms. Toad May 2020 #19
Clock is ticking, as they like to say in the movies... Wounded Bear May 2020 #30
In January, just before the new President is sworn in... kentuck May 2020 #31

Takket

(21,421 posts)
6. tough to say.......
Mon May 25, 2020, 01:12 PM
May 2020

we now know the virus was circulating with impunity while drumpf ignored the crisis from early January (when its danger was well known) until mid March. That's two and a half months. It took that amount of time for it to explode to the disasters we saw in NY and Detroit.

but for the Memorial day surge we aren't "starting from zero". The virus is already out there and in fact is seeing a bump right now from about two weeks ago when irresponsible people gathered for mother's day. So i think in about two weeks we'll see a serious acceleration of cases as incubation from Memorial day weekend comes to light and the top of this "new curve" will hit around the 4th of July.

We would be in much better shape if drumpf and the rethugs hadn't decided to make something as easy as "avoiding a deadly super contagious virus" into a political football, but here we are. and the worst part is everyone will still be out living their lives like nothing is wrong on july 4th weekend at the top of that next peak, and that is only going to reinforce yet ANOTHER peak a month after that......

PJMcK

(21,916 posts)
10. Definitely by the Fourth of July
Mon May 25, 2020, 01:34 PM
May 2020

As I wrote in another thread, Trump's push to re-open the country for Memorial Day weekend means that by the Fourth of July, we'll be in another wave.

Trump ruins everything including our national holidays.

Midnight Writer

(21,546 posts)
11. Judging from the live cams here, within three weeks.
Mon May 25, 2020, 01:53 PM
May 2020

And bear in mind. A "surge" now is not going from 15 cases to 40 cases, as it was last February.

A surge now means going from 1.5 million to 4 million.

Masks, distancing, common courtesy seem to be losing out where I live. I am seeing fewer masks and more spreaders.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
25. Northern California is a relative term.
Mon May 25, 2020, 09:27 PM
May 2020

Do you live in the Bay Area, or do you live in red Northern California (where people have talked about splitting off from the rest of California)?

warrior1

(12,325 posts)
29. I'm not giving my actual location.
Tue May 26, 2020, 08:58 AM
May 2020

I'll just say it's not in a red county not even a little bit. Not SF either.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
32. Once a person is out of San Francisco - Sonoma County in that part of California,
Tue May 26, 2020, 06:05 PM
May 2020

one runs into hick country pretty fast. My belief is that makes a huge difference in the amount of mask wearing.

Midnight Writer

(21,546 posts)
28. Central Illinois. Rural, White, Christian and Red. And older. Jobs are gone, young folk leave fast.
Tue May 26, 2020, 12:12 AM
May 2020

There is a nice hospital near me, but it is overcapacity and transferring patients out. The next nearest hospital is about 30 miles.

peggysue2

(10,811 posts)
12. Alabama is already reporting ICU bed shortages
Mon May 25, 2020, 01:53 PM
May 2020

That was before the weekend. Most agree that Georgia and Florida have been cooking their numbers. When the surge comes, it will be impossible to hide because health systems will be overwhelmed, doctors and nurses will be screaming and families will be burying their dead.

I'm in Tennessee. Thus far our exposure has been mild in comparison to the NE or West coast. But an uptick in irresponsible people flooding the Smoky Mountain resorts, Nashville and Memphis clubs and restaurants could easily change that.

Which is why my husband and I are still wearing masks and gloves while keeping our public exposure to a minimum. I'm desperate for a haircut and color. But I'll wait because the prospect of a ventilator is far less attractive than my wild, shoulder-length hair.

See what the numbers say in mid-June. Until then? We're still sheltering in place.

 

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)
14. 10-12 days out.
Mon May 25, 2020, 03:18 PM
May 2020

And that depends on these next few days of weather. Looking for a massive out break in the Upper Midwest with what we used to call,going up to the lake effect. Usually after the Memorial Holiday,work places used to load up on colds and flu type illness's.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
22. It survives in those conditions better than originally estimated by scientists,
Mon May 25, 2020, 07:18 PM
May 2020

but from what I read, the conditions in a room with AC would be much more to it's liking.

Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
27. Really? I guess I learned something. All I read was lower temperature, low humidity was best for
Mon May 25, 2020, 09:52 PM
May 2020

it. AC provides low temperature (65-72F) and low humidity.

JCMach1

(27,544 posts)
26. The rain stopped many of the outdoor crowds
Mon May 25, 2020, 09:48 PM
May 2020

And activities...

Flood warnings even in a number of areas.

Drahthaardogs

(6,843 posts)
15. It already started last week
Mon May 25, 2020, 03:23 PM
May 2020

Look to the "serious or critical" cases - those requiring hospital stays. Up about 1000 over ten days ago.

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