Fewer Black Americans say they will vote in the 2024 election, new poll says

[applegrove]

Fewer Black Americans say they will vote in the 2024 election, new poll says

Sudiksha Kochi
USA TODAY

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/05/06/black-americans-vote-joe-biden-2024/73588611007/


"SNIP.............

WASHINGTON – President Joe Biden may be facing a tougher landscape six months out from Election Day, as a new poll shows that fewer Black Americans – a key voting bloc – say they will show up to the polls this year when compared to 2020.

The Washington Post/Ipsos poll, conducted between April 9 and April 16, found that 62% of Black Americans said they were certain to vote in this year’s election. That’s down by 12 percentage points compared to June 2020, where 74% of Black Americans said the same.

The poll also found that only 41% of young Black Americans ages 18-39 were certain to vote, compared to 61% in June 2020.

Black Americans' support for Biden overall has decreased too, according to the poll. Biden won 92% of support from the demographic group four years ago. However, the poll found that 74% of Black Americans said they would definitely or probably vote for Biden this year.

...........SNIP"

[WhiskeyGrinder]

1. Maybe if people yell at them, they'll vote harder.

[walkingman]

2. Failure to vote for the Democratic Party will be to their own detriment. There is nothing

about the GOP that is in the black communities interests. I suspect things could change before this coming November.

[Groundhawg]

3. Biden is doing great, but the general feeling is this isn't the best line-up

[Ferrets are Cool]

4. Another poll I will ignore.

[brooklynite]

12. It must be nice to only read things one agrees with.

[lees1975]

5. USA today polls are to stir up readership, not to provide facts.

It's already wrong. Black voter turnout has been higher in the primaries. This is not a constuency that votes against itself to its own detriment.

https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/05/inside-of-six-months-to-election-do-all.html

[Tree Lady]

6. Its hard to believe that

Joe is healthy but he's also an older president with what could be the first black woman president.

Being president is one of the most stressful jobs, makes me think of watching Obama's hair turn gray fast.

[Cha]

7. JHC.. Another Vote Depressing Bullshit poll.

Wonderful!!!

[Traurigkeit]

8. We'll vote. Too bad the first two replies are in the negative vein. Well not all Democrats are welcoming.

[Aepps22]

11. We Sure Will

I’m Black and every time I go to the barbershop or other mostly Black gatherings folks have all said they are voting for Joe. This isn’t an anti polls post but I’m not sure how many Black folks post on here and the number of actual Black people folks on here interact with on a day to day basis. Black voters are a huge part of our coalition and we know what's at stake and we were calling out Trump before everyone else.

[electric_blue68]

16. If I was still living in the mixed white, Caribbean- & Afro-American nabe in Brooklyn then I'm sure I'd be hearing....

something at some point.

My current Black friends; one definitely will be voting Biden, the other highly probable; as she was a poly-sci Major, and center-left. Mostly likely all of my previous Black friends, too. Most likely almost all my previous friends!

More complicated where I now live: in a assisted living facility (lucky a quite nice one [good, not super fancy, IF there us such thing, maybe for rich people] ); it's a mix of white, black, and all "races" Hispanics. No Asians currently.
Now it happens that you have to be on Medicaid to be here - I'm pretty sure people know what would happen if drumphf got reelected, and got both Houses!

However I'll keep my ears open!
In fact I landed there/here 5 weeks before 2022 election! I researched where I should have voting, filled out a Provisional ballot; then got a letter later post election saying my ballot wasn't counted; I voted in the wrong district! Wth?!
Must get that handled, as I didn't vote in '23. My voting record is about 97% going on 52 yrs.

I can say for certainty that the other group who knew what drumphf was were Liberal NYC'rs! Like me, my friends, my sis, and her friends!

[electric_blue68]

13. From the sense I get from....

Whiskey Grinder she might have been being quite sarcastic.

[David__77]

17. That is indeed the case.

[electric_blue68]

18. 👍

[uponit7771]

9. 4% MOE, another headline poll ... No reason the MOE should be that high with high sample rate

Also an early April poll vs a June election year poll.

Yeah, of course they're going to be different

[lees1975]

10. Obviously this requires a response.

At least one black voter has posted in this thread, declaring they will vote. Thank you for that.

I read through the article in USA today, a publication which, frankly, I rarely if ever read and which is about as bland and lifeless as journalism gets.

First they talk about the poll. Then they cite a few stats and assert this as all being fact without indicating why there might be a shift. There's no reason or substantiation given, no black voter that they found and talked to who says they may not vote and tells why. Then they cite another poll as proof, from a year ago, one year, with "similar" results, but it's not a poll that is either widely known or included in any composite.

Without any specific citation, there's nothing there to support the poll's data as being anything but a random sampling of people on some date without any context given to the questions that were asked. No mention made that black voter turnout in Democratic primaries is up. And while that may be as a result of black candidates running for office, it contradicts the poll and should have objectively been included. But young "journalists" who work for news outlets like USA today are not well trained, not good writers and not very smart.

But thanks for posting this. These are the kinds of things which, collectively, lead to people making the effort to turn out the vote.

[ProudMNDemocrat]

14. The effort by Republicans to SUPPRESS their right to vote is having a negative effect.

I cannot explain the apathy on the part of African-Americans. They are being told their vote "does not matter."

I keep saying that it does. "You do not vote, you just might be barred from ever voting again! Think about that!"

[Emile]

15. MSM wants a horse race.

[Traurigkeit]

19. I prefer a BLUE WALL and every media shithead has to eat their notes on camera

[elocs]

20. My guess would be that precious few Black American women will refuse to vote.

If only all Democrats were as dependable in supporting Democratic candidates and causes as Black women.

[Elessar Zappa]

21. If Biden loses, let's put the blame where it belongs.

Black people are our most dependable Democratic voters. Even if we lose some, a huge majority will vote for Biden. The white male vote,, on the other hand, will comfortably go to Trump.

[Torchlight]

22. I'm confident trump will continue to push this demographic away from him

and into voting for Biden over not voting at all.

I think it's far too early for any support by particular demographics to be objectively and accurately measured yet; maybe after summer winds down and the campaigns proper begin they'll hold more relevance for me.

At this stage in the game, I tend to see them used used mainly only to prop up one, or weaken another argument, or used as an excuse to infuse unsupported doubts into the race for its own sake, and it's become a wearisome task to see them as anything other than a sampled snapshot of one instant in time.